0xF1635E1C8F1e22dC3BEb58e922Bb9e115Db781fe-1769971598348
0xf1635e1c8f1e22dc3beb58e922bb9e115db781fe
- Realised P&L
- $100.90
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 390
- Open portfolio
- $42.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded390
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.84at 0.124US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$20.79at 0.425Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?
- +$7.03at 0.227Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
- +$4.86at 0.707Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$2.60at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:22 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.7889998854 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 20:31 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.33 |
| 09-02 19:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.97 |
| 09-02 19:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 10:47 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.00 |
| 08-30 10:44 | Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | BUY | 0.1040170217 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.6599999785 | $8.00 |
| 08-30 10:44 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 10:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.98 |
| 08-30 10:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 19:25 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |