0xF1635E1C8F1e22dC3BEb58e922Bb9e115Db781fe-1769971598348
0xf1635e1c8f1e22dc3beb58e922bb9e115db781fe
- Realised P&L
- $328.26
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.84at 0.124US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$134.15at 0.359Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
- +$123.46at 0.672Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?
- +$100.36at 0.262Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$93.85at 0.110Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:07 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.5289098052 | $57.23 |
| 10-31 22:19 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6072406689 | $168.58 |
| 10-31 18:06 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3889196676 | $14.04 |
| 10-31 15:28 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.274072127 | $27.33 |
| 10-31 09:43 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | BUY | 0.75 | $116.99 |
| 10-30 13:56 | Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5089466138 | $488.06 |
| 10-30 11:35 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.672 | $40.95 |
| 10-30 07:14 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? | BUY | 0.6999999724 | $12.66 |
| 10-30 06:51 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? | BUY | 0.6779237351 | $115.85 |
| 10-29 16:15 | Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson? | BUY | 0.3718165884 | $252.43 |
| 10-28 22:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.6199999997 | $391.44 |
| 10-28 20:02 | Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.11062839 | $16.72 |
| 10-28 10:51 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.9237381557 | $436.74 |
| 10-27 22:14 | Will United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.15 |
| 10-27 21:13 | Will United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0389339888 | $2.77 |