PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8deee13928d230c859fcfe45075a423335b65600

Realised P&L
$-56.39
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
617
Open portfolio
$2.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded617
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? · Yes0.7300.840$2.30+$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:17Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?BUY0.7299997409$2.00
09-15 16:29Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?BUY0.9869999956$2.00
09-14 19:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?SELL0.981$1.30
09-14 19:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?SELL0.981$0.27
09-14 19:40Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?SELL0.98$0.15
09-14 19:25Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?SELL0.98$0.45
09-14 14:58Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?BUY0.9$2.00
09-10 19:09Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 10?BUY0.9299999881$2.35
09-09 20:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9?BUY0.8199999785$2.29
09-07 21:18Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 7?SELL0.93$2.44
09-07 21:16Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 7?SELL0.93$0.71
09-07 13:26Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 7?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
09-02 06:13Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?SELL0.98$1.06
09-02 06:12Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?SELL0.979$1.01
09-01 13:51Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?BUY0.9439999773$2.00