0x8deee13928d230c859fcfe45075a423335b65600
- Realised P&L
- $-56.39
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 617
- Open portfolio
- $2.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded617
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.840 | $2.30 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.00at 0.580S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?
- +$21.43at 0.605Heat vs. Hornets
- +$15.39at 0.490Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?
- +$12.06at 0.548Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$10.47at 0.500Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:17 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7299997409 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15? | BUY | 0.9869999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.30 |
| 09-14 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.981 | $0.27 |
| 09-14 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.15 |
| 09-14 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.45 |
| 09-14 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.9299999881 | $2.35 |
| 09-09 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9? | BUY | 0.8199999785 | $2.29 |
| 09-07 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 7? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.44 |
| 09-07 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 7? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.71 |
| 09-07 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 7? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 06:13 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 09-02 06:12 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | SELL | 0.979 | $1.01 |
| 09-01 13:51 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | BUY | 0.9439999773 | $2.00 |