Iets
0xb4a0f0da1fa782bd5b8b4af9015cc899e119993d
- Realised P&L
- $-839.73
- Volume
- $61.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,728
- Open portfolio
- $5.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,728
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Isaias peak at Category 4? · No | 0.890 | 0.943 | $5.29 | +$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.17at 0.431New Mexico vs. Minnesota
- +$105.00at 0.160Rockets vs. Kings
- +$84.31at 0.553Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?
- +$73.33at 0.120Pacers vs. Thunder
- +$71.77at 0.110Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:15 | Will Isaias peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.6499999661 | $3.83 |
| 10-02 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.7576795005 | $7.28 |
| 10-01 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $11.13 |
| 09-30 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.5189982969 | $1.14 |
| 09-30 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.89 |
| 09-30 16:16 | Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane? | SELL | 0.976 | $6.69 |
| 09-30 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.25 |