PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Iets

0xb4a0f0da1fa782bd5b8b4af9015cc899e119993d

Realised P&L
$-839.73
Volume
$61.9k
Markets traded
1,728
Open portfolio
$5.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,728
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Isaias peak at Category 4? · No0.8900.943$5.29+$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:15Will Isaias peak at Category 4?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
10-05 19:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?BUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-04 05:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?BUY0.6499999661$3.83
10-02 21:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 2?BUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-02 02:12Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
10-02 01:23Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2?SELL0.59$3.00
10-01 23:32Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 1?SELL0.7576795005$7.28
10-01 21:38Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 1?BUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-01 17:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 1?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-01 13:13Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2?BUY0.629999995$5.00
09-30 20:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?SELL0.89$11.13
09-30 19:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 30?BUY0.5189982969$1.14
09-30 16:39Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 30?BUY0.025$1.89
09-30 16:16Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?SELL0.976$6.69
09-30 07:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?BUY0.26$3.25