WinnerWinnerChickenDinner12
0x7291e052fcced3a40e4753051b8eeb41e6f75b4d
- Realised P&L
- $166.87
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $718.93
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.70at 0.422Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?
- +$41.82at 0.462Spread: Bears (-3.5)
- +$34.22at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 13?
- +$30.83at 0.482Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
- +$30.46at 0.502Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:33 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7960199005 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 07:31 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 19:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 13:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.6478405283 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 08:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 08:01 | Rocket League: TSM vs R8 Esports (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Play-In | BUY | 0.7475728103 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 08:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.5399999918 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 07:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999951 | $35.00 |
| 09-14 09:23 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30? | BUY | 0.6799999937 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 09:23 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.6799999973 | $60.00 |
| 09-14 09:18 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3369438401 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 08:26 | Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | BUY | 0.144127495 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 08:16 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September? | BUY | 0.5799999959 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 07:54 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |