god83743894
0xe040ffe586e21cb49449e8daf19b1cdff87a824f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $3.10M
- Markets traded
- 32,083
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded32,083
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.005Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
- +$3.1kat 0.065Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$2.6kat 0.175Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$2.6kat 0.064Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.017Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 22:41 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $39.16 |
| 09-17 22:39 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-17 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 22:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-17 22:32 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.79 |
| 09-17 22:26 | Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-17 22:26 | Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 09-17 22:26 | Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 22:26 | Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 22:26 | Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | BUY | 0.8055622222 | $36.25 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.60 |