PolyBot

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Traders

BeefSlayer

0x331bf91c132af9d921e1908ca0979363fc47193f

Realised P&L
$83.8k
Volume
$2.06M
Markets traded
2,410
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded2,410
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration87.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.3410.365$803.15+$52.52
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.3610.615$762.33+$315.31
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026? · No0.8490.996$614.21+$90.59
Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? · Yes0.7070.865$475.75+$86.97
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026? · No0.7060.930$409.84+$98.75
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard? · No0.9750.996$252.22+$5.30
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026? · No0.9030.908$248.94+$1.47
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026? · No0.6850.960$205.33+$58.77
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 11 and September 15, 2026? · No0.9300.992$203.10+$12.60
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026? · No0.9060.931$152.63+$4.20
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026? · No0.9060.944$146.53+$5.93
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17? · Yes0.8591.000$103.46+$14.58
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17? · No0.4901.000$99.95+$50.95
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.7501.000$50.61+$12.63
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? · Yes0.7501.000$37.52+$9.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:45Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17?BUY0.8586474737$88.88
09-17 18:50Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17?SELL0.16$1.28
09-17 18:50Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17?SELL0.169569378$1.42
09-17 17:57Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 17?SELL0.006$0.06
09-17 17:57Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 17?SELL0.031$0.05
09-17 17:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.1563846415$4.60
09-17 17:08Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17?BUY0.75$37.98
09-17 16:45Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.01$0.20
09-17 15:16Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.1265$1.27
09-17 15:15Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.1263882667$2.37
09-17 14:38Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.11$0.37
09-17 14:38Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.1123227323$4.06
09-17 14:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?SELL0.245$0.03
09-17 14:21Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.2448294625$7.38
09-17 14:13Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.0795938242$1.34