BeefSlayer
0x331bf91c132af9d921e1908ca0979363fc47193f
- Realised P&L
- $88.2k
- Volume
- $2.41M
- Markets traded
- 2,942
- Open portfolio
- $12.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,942
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.013Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30?
- +$4.1kat 0.116Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?
- +$3.2kat 0.009Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on August 21?
- +$3.0kat 0.002Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on January 25?
- +$2.3kat 0.226Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.1286075814 | $48.28 |
| 11-02 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.2080032095 | $66.11 |
| 11-01 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |
| 11-01 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0030701966 | $0.76 |
| 11-01 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.4192038656 | $45.55 |
| 10-30 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.61 |
| 10-30 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.1611193195 | $14.39 |
| 10-30 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.34 |
| 10-30 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.13 |
| 10-30 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.17 |
| 10-30 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.1210810186 | $26.20 |
| 10-30 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.0636061042 | $11.50 |
| 10-30 07:31 | Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? | BUY | 0.9827738095 | $82.55 |
| 10-30 07:30 | Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? | SELL | 0.9925385089 | $161.09 |
| 10-29 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.03 | $8.77 |