PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lowkey.ledgend

0x6153b5fe72130ee79190bd87a9baad0b0a509940

Realised P&L
$-9.20
Volume
$37.1k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$380.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? · Yes0.7060.730$294.32+$9.79
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? · Yes0.2320.189$76.15−$17.41
Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm? · Yes0.8200.950$10.13+$1.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 03:26Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.5999999348$1.84
10-11 03:22Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.28$22.07
10-10 18:50Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.213327124$46.95
10-10 18:49Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.69$140.17
10-10 15:01Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm?BUY0.82$8.74
10-10 07:40Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.77$73.42
10-09 21:50Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.236$24.54
10-09 21:49Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.68$69.10
10-09 07:08Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.1846946203$30.35
10-09 07:06Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.201$3.53
10-09 07:05Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.202$6.03
10-09 07:04Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.203$20.30
10-09 07:04Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.204$22.03
10-09 07:02Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.23$16.33
10-09 07:02Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.232$127.66