lowkey.ledgend
0x6153b5fe72130ee79190bd87a9baad0b0a509940
- Realised P&L
- $-9.20
- Volume
- $37.1k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $380.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? · Yes | 0.706 | 0.730 | $294.32 | +$9.79 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.189 | $76.15 | −$17.41 |
| Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.950 | $10.13 | +$1.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$215.86at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 24?
- +$160.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$158.37at 0.097Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?
- +$150.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$150.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 03:26 | Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.5999999348 | $1.84 |
| 10-11 03:22 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.28 | $22.07 |
| 10-10 18:50 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.213327124 | $46.95 |
| 10-10 18:49 | Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.69 | $140.17 |
| 10-10 15:01 | Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.74 |
| 10-10 07:40 | Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.77 | $73.42 |
| 10-09 21:50 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.236 | $24.54 |
| 10-09 21:49 | Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.68 | $69.10 |
| 10-09 07:08 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.1846946203 | $30.35 |
| 10-09 07:06 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.201 | $3.53 |
| 10-09 07:05 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.202 | $6.03 |
| 10-09 07:04 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.203 | $20.30 |
| 10-09 07:04 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.204 | $22.03 |
| 10-09 07:02 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.23 | $16.33 |
| 10-09 07:02 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.232 | $127.66 |