Mandalorec
0x039b08dc2cb66400f1d725821b1a38924f799b6c
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $124.8k
- Markets traded
- 502
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded502
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$347.70at 0.269Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
- +$323.78at 0.318Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?
- +$302.99at 0.192Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$209.12at 0.154Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
- +$198.79at 0.372Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 22:22 | Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.75 million? | BUY | 0.75 | $246.75 |
| 10-27 22:20 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month? | BUY | 0.831957672 | $196.55 |
| 10-27 22:10 | Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms? | BUY | 0.63 | $28.35 |
| 10-27 22:08 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $330.20 |
| 10-27 20:37 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $47.95 |
| 10-25 23:18 | Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.6796663194 | $195.74 |
| 10-25 23:08 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $110.50 |
| 10-25 23:05 | Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.299270073 | $205.00 |
| 10-25 23:03 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6464377287 | $204.92 |
| 10-25 23:01 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%? | BUY | 0.3136578237 | $182.43 |
| 10-25 23:00 | Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | BUY | 0.6998711604 | $205.06 |
| 10-22 22:06 | Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.56 | $187.67 |
| 10-22 21:55 | Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m? | BUY | 0.6232815534 | $192.59 |
| 10-22 21:50 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $178.48 |
| 10-20 21:52 | Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.93 |