PolyBot

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Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. up 0.008 over the period, from 0.013. Range 0.013 to 0.023. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0302727
0.0317198
0.03219117
0.04150167
0.042262429
0.07844473
0.098250723
0.1159732
0.14118750
0.14730780
0.14822802
0.17195897

Spread0.017Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0134040
0.011100140
0.004240380
0.003100480
0.0023,1483,628
0.0018,77112,399

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9874040
0.989100140
0.996240380
0.997100480
0.9983,1483,628
0.9998,77112,399

Spread0.017Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9702727
0.9697198
0.96819117
0.95950167
0.958262429
0.92244473
0.902250723
0.8859732
0.85918750
0.85330780
0.85222802
0.82995897

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Stupendous-InnerstateYes1,095.04
x1099Yes876.77
caspar1248Yes839.78
0x5533…51baYes262.17
fiterYes250
LornaPredictsYes208.04
libratus1Yes92.32
0x0Aa076ea6ec2Ea7928A1AB26a15637D61e4604A3-1774352226279Yes70.75
Z91EXYes70
tradetosurvive1Yes63.06
GingerMcKennaYes55.22
VonVonaghYes50
Numitus1994Yes43.67
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes27.17
AJSVYes26.67
a5533Yes21.77
GuyFromTinderYes20
Mojito9Yes20
donthackmeYes15.48
PollyForgeYes8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:23:18BUYYes0.03170$2.17
00:16:52BUYNo0.9882$1.75
03:09:18BUYNo0.98933$32.39
03:09:16BUYNo0.9899$9.15
03:09:09BUYNo0.98989$87.53
01:20:51BUYNo0.9889999931$1.28
00:00:45BUYNo0.9895$4.95
23:55:42BUYNo0.98920$19.76
23:55:33BUYNo0.98910$9.89
23:50:33BUYNo0.98920$19.78
22:34:10SELLNo0.98221$20.30
02:32:34BUYNo0.9993$92.00
02:46:30BUYNo0.99103$102.00
09:46:04BUYNo0.9886233814106$105.00
03:15:03BUYNo0.9866268174119$117.00
13:57:30BUYNo0.98720$19.74
02:46:37BUYYes0.0120$0.20
02:35:48BUYYes0.00747216541,095$8.18
00:05:36BUYNo0.9988$8.11
16:54:40BUYNo0.99832$31.94
16:54:40BUYNo0.99810$9.98
16:54:40BUYNo0.99813$12.77
07:34:09BUYNo0.99810$9.98
07:34:09BUYNo0.99840$39.92
22:27:33BUYNo0.99885$84.83