PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PollyForge

0xc5403a67309b34f5936e429568bccf02726df00d

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$3.94M
Markets traded
16,014
Open portfolio
$463.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16,014
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · No0.8400.944$37.76+$4.16
Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.8900.725$29.73−$6.76
Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec? · No0.8400.765$26.77−$2.63
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.0150.635$25.40+$24.80
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? · No0.9630.985$20.68+$0.46
Will Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · No0.9640.934$20.55−$0.66
Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.876$17.52−$0.28
Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · Yes0.0220.487$15.11+$14.42
Will Lars-Erik Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? · No0.9650.999$11.98+$0.40
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0810.966$8.69+$7.96
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0340.411$8.22+$7.54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0320.425$7.53+$6.96
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · No0.8900.685$6.85−$2.05
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0000.340$6.80+$6.80
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.9200.957$6.70+$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 17:02Will UNABOMBER win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.09$0.45
09-03 17:02Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.52$2.60
09-03 17:00Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.001$0.01
09-03 16:36Will Benjamin Šeško (Man Utd) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.007$0.28
09-03 16:15Will Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.003$0.12
09-03 16:12Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?SELL0.81$4.05
09-03 16:04Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
09-03 15:57Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.18$7.20
09-03 15:57Will Marcus Rashford (Man Utd) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.001$0.04
09-03 15:57Will Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.001$0.04
09-03 15:57Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.06$2.40
09-03 15:51Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.02$0.55
09-03 15:39Will Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?SELL0.41$6.15
09-03 15:34Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week?SELL0.001$0.01
09-03 15:29Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?SELL0.88$1.29