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Traders

libratus1

0x28b291aa82da13e1d58993873806c92908d5eb4f

Realised P&L
$56.6k
Volume
$3.27M
Markets traded
1,029
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,029
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.8550.964$1.1k+$119.85
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7680.910$1.1k+$164.81
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? · No0.8690.920$668.45+$37.11
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.4730.755$238.84+$89.05
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · No0.8100.815$232.11+$1.40
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? · No0.6940.615$225.11$28.83
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5000.670$71.90+$18.23
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.930$40.69+$1.75
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · No0.7400.775$7.75+$0.35
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? · No0.4400.510$0.63+$0.09
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.53
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$25.21
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$12.83
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$12.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 14:21Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?SELL0.81$170.51
08-01 14:20Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.999$2.9k
08-01 07:37Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?BUY0.81$230.71
08-01 07:37Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?BUY0.6937670952$423.58
08-01 07:29Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9896466934$737.61
08-01 07:29Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9776473048$823.04
07-30 22:05Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0232485797$8.23
07-30 18:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.64$93.56
07-30 18:24Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.071$31.14
07-30 18:12Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.074$32.45
07-29 17:53Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.989$39.56
07-27 18:55Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8798283197$289.55
07-25 16:34Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.66$98.26
07-25 10:10Will any other model be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?BUY0.966$319.18
07-24 18:34Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9797977892$145.36