caspar1248
0xa278b41b5afda5d18da683eb7f851a7b2dc13369
- Realised P&L
- $-37.8k
- Volume
- $2.80M
- Markets traded
- 7,643
- Open portfolio
- $37.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,643
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.7kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
- +$12.2kat 0.138Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?
- +$10.9kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
- +$10.0kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$8.8kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 15:45 | Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.1499999933 | $1.12 |
| 09-18 15:45 | Counter-Strike: BBL vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B | BUY | 0.3099999767 | $2.39 |
| 09-18 15:21 | Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.26 | $0.77 |
| 09-18 15:13 | Exact Score: Bishop's Cleeve AFC 0 - 0 Tadley Calleva FC? | BUY | 0.5389474736 | $409.59 |
| 09-18 15:12 | Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | BUY | 0.53 | $0.88 |
| 09-18 15:12 | Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5314052762 | $25.35 |
| 09-18 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9399999938 | $6.09 |
| 09-18 15:05 | Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $64.09 |
| 09-18 15:04 | Exact Score: Atherton Collieries AFC 3 - 2 Prescot Cables FC? | BUY | 0.5292 | $396.90 |
| 09-18 14:45 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5699998494 | $1.40 |
| 09-18 14:43 | Szczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti | BUY | 0.1799999983 | $12.57 |
| 09-18 14:07 | Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.82 | $18.45 |
| 09-18 14:05 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.23 | $230.00 |
| 09-18 13:58 | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | BUY | 0.3566598393 | $302.43 |
| 09-18 13:21 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $52.20 |