caspar1248
0xa278b41b5afda5d18da683eb7f851a7b2dc13369
- Realised P&L
- $-66.5k
- Volume
- $7.51M
- Markets traded
- 18,532
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18,532
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.5kat 0.462Spread: LA (-9.5)
- +$12.7kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
- +$12.2kat 0.138Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?
- +$10.9kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
- +$10.0kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:33 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.9399999995 | $36.15 |
| 11-02 17:32 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.9399999995 | $36.15 |
| 11-02 17:32 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.891 | $178.20 |
| 11-02 17:31 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-02 17:31 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $150.00 |
| 11-02 17:29 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-02 17:27 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 11-02 17:24 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.9399999987 | $14.67 |
| 11-02 17:24 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.891 | $356.40 |
| 11-02 17:23 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 11-02 17:23 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-02 17:23 | Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1500 on November 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.14 |
| 11-02 17:20 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-02 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.9639999987 | $17.25 |
| 11-02 17:01 | FC Inter Turku vs. IF Gnistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |