PolyBot

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Traders

x1099

0xaee811b7c7e5d961b545ac0e3f62f5f1cb181154

Realised P&L
$30.7k
Volume
$2.99M
Markets traded
2,294
Open portfolio
$42.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,294
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.645$14.2k+$3.2k
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.355$7.8k$3.2k
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · No0.6410.755$1.0k+$157.09
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5390.885$893.85+$349.23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.8960.970$728.25+$55.74
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.8970.930$710.52+$25.17
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5280.745$539.10+$157.10
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7310.900$535.50+$100.84
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8600.967$517.09+$56.95
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.8200.883$503.31+$36.08
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8060.955$477.51+$74.54
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.2700.720$468.01+$292.57
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9460.987$424.19+$17.60
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.4570.775$418.50+$171.50
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.7700.918$367.19+$58.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:03Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?SELL0.8$16.00
09-17 06:00Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.32$20.80
09-17 05:25Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.3110961907$56.76
09-17 05:24Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7075756841$233.49
09-17 04:08Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7695714286$53.87
09-17 04:01Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0969529412$8.24
09-17 03:58Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.06$1.80
09-17 03:51Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.521$2.99
09-17 03:48Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.34$6.80
09-17 02:19Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?SELL0.2$4.00
09-17 02:19Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.84$16.80
09-17 02:17Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?SELL0.85$17.00
09-17 02:16Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.18$3.60
09-16 16:15Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.7631996226$121.35
09-16 16:14Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.2368571429$16.58