x1099
0xaee811b7c7e5d961b545ac0e3f62f5f1cb181154
- Realised P&L
- $30.7k
- Volume
- $2.99M
- Markets traded
- 2,294
- Open portfolio
- $42.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,294
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.279Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$5.2kat 0.426Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.3kat 0.196Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$3.1kat 0.491Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.685Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:03 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 09-17 06:00 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.80 |
| 09-17 05:25 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.3110961907 | $56.76 |
| 09-17 05:24 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7075756841 | $233.49 |
| 09-17 04:08 | Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7695714286 | $53.87 |
| 09-17 04:01 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0969529412 | $8.24 |
| 09-17 03:58 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 09-17 03:51 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.521 | $2.99 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 02:19 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-17 02:17 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-17 02:16 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-16 16:15 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.7631996226 | $121.35 |
| 09-16 16:14 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.2368571429 | $16.58 |