35066FE58fe
0xaee811b7c7e5d961b545ac0e3f62f5f1cb181154
- Realised P&L
- $37.9k
- Volume
- $3.68M
- Markets traded
- 2,780
- Open portfolio
- $15.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,780
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.279Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$5.2kat 0.426Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.3kat 0.196Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$3.1kat 0.491Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.685Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:20 | Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.3884967201 | $85.28 |
| 11-01 13:06 | Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0087159631 | $0.66 |
| 11-01 13:01 | Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 11-01 11:43 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.2787804878 | $45.72 |
| 11-01 11:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.6461333333 | $193.84 |
| 11-01 11:14 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 11-01 11:14 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3816 | $133.56 |
| 11-01 11:06 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.625 | $62.50 |
| 11-01 11:06 | Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6187476 | $61.87 |
| 11-01 11:04 | Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.745 | $59.60 |
| 11-01 06:20 | Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.281 | $2.81 |
| 11-01 06:09 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $22.26 |
| 11-01 06:02 | Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $27.45 |
| 11-01 06:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $59.04 |
| 11-01 06:01 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $72.00 |