VonVonagh
0xeace539957dc19048c7be9bb64e1af6b517b38b9
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $187.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,772
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,772
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.10at 0.030Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?
- +$27.50at 0.070Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?
- +$25.20at 0.010Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?
- +$25.00at 0.050Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
- +$20.50at 0.080Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:30 | Will Jordan Seaton be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 19:22 | Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.49 |
| 09-17 18:32 | Will Matt Brewer win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-17 17:34 | Will Deportivo Maldonado be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 17:25 | Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.15 | $5.25 |
| 09-17 16:30 | Will Nadeem Akbar win the 2026 Milton mayoral election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 16:29 | Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-17 15:30 | Will 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila win the Tongatapu 2 by-election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 15:30 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 15:28 | Will Matt Brewer win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 09-17 15:21 | Will Patrick Mahomes be the #2 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.075 | $0.38 |
| 09-17 14:30 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 0%-10%? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 14:20 | Will Lyon finish first in UEL league phase? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.83 |