PolyBot

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Traders

VonVonagh

0xeace539957dc19048c7be9bb64e1af6b517b38b9

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$187.8k
Markets traded
4,772
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,772
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will D.C. United keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.490$24.50+$24.00
Will Seattle Sounders FC keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.490$24.50+$24.00
Will Noah Fifita be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader? · Yes0.0100.490$24.50+$24.00
Will Sporting Cristal be runner-up in the 2026 Peru Liga 1? · Yes0.0300.485$24.25+$22.75
Will Atlanta United FC keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.485$24.25+$23.75
Will Orlando City SC keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.485$24.25+$23.75
Will Harju JK Laagri be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · Yes0.0100.480$24.00+$23.50
Will HB finish 8th in the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)? · Yes0.0100.480$24.00+$23.50
Will NSÍ Runavík finish 8th in the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)? · Yes0.0200.480$24.00+$23.00
Will Scotty Fox Jr. be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader? · Yes0.0100.480$24.00+$23.50
Will FC Cincinnati keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.480$24.00+$23.50
Will New England Revolution keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.475$23.75+$23.25
Will New York Red Bulls keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.475$23.75+$23.25
Will Sporting Kansas City keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.475$23.75+$23.25
Will LA Galaxy keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 MLS? · Yes0.0100.475$23.75+$23.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:30Will Jordan Seaton be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?SELL0.002$0.01
09-17 19:22Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.49
09-17 18:32Will Matt Brewer win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?SELL0.12$4.80
09-17 17:34Will Deportivo Maldonado be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?SELL0.06$2.40
09-17 17:30Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.01$0.03
09-17 17:30Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?SELL0.07$0.07
09-17 17:25Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.15$5.25
09-17 16:30Will Nadeem Akbar win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?SELL0.011$0.05
09-17 16:29Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028?BUY0.07$3.50
09-17 15:30Will 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?SELL0.003$0.01
09-17 15:30Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 9%-12%?SELL0.03$0.02
09-17 15:28Will Matt Brewer win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?BUY0.09$3.60
09-17 15:21Will Patrick Mahomes be the #2 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.075$0.38
09-17 14:30Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 0%-10%?SELL0.003$0.01
09-17 14:20Will Lyon finish first in UEL league phase?SELL0.2$3.83