PolyBot

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Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.002 to 0.004. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003735735
0.0041,9512,686
0.00529,67232,358
0.00627632,634
0.00820032,834
0.0092,16034,994
0.01030035,294
0.01120035,494
0.01210035,594
0.01310035,694
0.01411035,804
0.01543036,234

Spread0.002Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00132,06732,067

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99932,06732,067

Spread0.002Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997735735
0.9961,9512,686
0.99529,67232,358
0.99427632,634
0.99220032,834
0.9912,16034,994
0.99030035,294
0.98920035,494
0.98810035,594
0.98710035,694
0.98611035,804
0.98543036,234

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Mac-GyverYes82,916.31
KuchikiDogeYes29,437.49
WojtekYes22,861.55
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes9,999.99
AnimalEaterYes9,365.72
molodoyyYes8,989.23
fiterYes8,245.06
0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7bYes7,999.97
BabyGrootYes5,099.94
dgfd76Yes2,974.11
iutwpfalYes2,432.81
CactusYuriYes1,965
MetrixNeoYes1,721.67
caspar1248Yes1,586.7
0xee67…67a6Yes1,516.55
LornaPredictsYes1,199.44
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes1,002.97
pullthetriggerYes1,000
lightsout912Yes1,000
Elton123Yes952.71

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:50:28SELLYes0.0011,000$1.00
04:18:39BUYNo0.9981,183$1180.63
03:04:25BUYNo0.998344$342.90
03:04:25BUYNo0.99830$29.94
02:52:01BUYNo0.99810$9.98
20:45:16SELLYes0.0018230448,360$15.24
19:44:57BUYNo0.99710$9.97
19:44:57BUYNo0.997600$597.76
19:44:55BUYNo0.996999999918$17.56
13:54:06BUYNo0.99720$19.94
12:20:58SELLYes0.003454$1.36
11:57:55SELLYes0.003488$1.46
11:38:16BUYYes0.005454$2.27
11:28:42BUYYes0.005488$2.44
10:17:46BUYNo0.99750$50.00
06:31:42SELLNo0.99512$11.94
03:03:43BUYNo0.99715$15.00
02:10:43BUYNo0.99712$11.96
19:54:00SELLYes0.003136$0.41
19:46:22SELLYes0.003260$0.78
19:35:24BUYYes0.005396$1.98
18:14:40SELLNo0.9956$5.97
18:11:31SELLNo0.9954$3.98
17:42:57BUYNo0.99710$9.97
17:42:49SELLYes0.003250$0.75