PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Wojtek

0x07d4245464dc4fa05d0b3f084d82482462dc8991

Realised P&L
$39.0k
Volume
$34.30M
Markets traded
2,430
Open portfolio
$10.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,430
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0580.131$1.2k+$645.02
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.097$984.30+$496.72
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1010.182$957.29+$425.71
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0320.048$842.81+$278.47
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1470.095$802.59$440.70
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4790.512$568.87+$37.18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2290.221$517.29$21.02
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1840.115$471.38$283.95
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1850.105$420.00$318.87
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.4320.355$319.50$69.50
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4340.345$310.50$80.50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.1040.075$265.25$103.13
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1180.145$227.83+$42.19
ECB rate cut in 2026? · Yes0.1650.045$212.74$565.00
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1230.134$200.25+$15.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:22Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.08$4.00
09-17 04:18Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0112320319$8.85
09-16 04:24Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$3.07
09-16 04:18Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$0.44
09-14 12:08Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.002$10.40
09-14 12:08Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.002$0.42
09-14 05:28Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$0.56
09-14 05:28Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$0.17
09-10 23:37Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$0.06
09-10 00:11Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0042384163$0.44
09-10 00:10Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.06$12.00
09-09 21:44Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$0.90
09-09 21:44Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$2.60
09-09 21:44Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$0.11
09-09 21:44Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$2.39