PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Elton123

0x8673e56b63b9cec4bbf96b4d4bd01a9333464025

Realised P&L
$-59.62
Volume
$143.1k
Markets traded
1,021
Open portfolio
$192.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,021
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? · No0.0150.874$76.86+$75.54
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.935$37.17+$2.58
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1440.710$35.27+$28.12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6390.365$9.66−$7.26
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1630.140$8.48−$1.42
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.250$5.81+$4.80
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0250.009$5.37−$8.65
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.5100.345$5.16−$2.47
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3850.065$4.24−$20.90
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.195$2.81+$0.79
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1360.120$0.89−$0.12
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.059$0.59−$0.42
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1610.004$0.16−$7.12
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6180.000$0.00−$9.83
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 20:49Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.851$2.62
09-30 20:50Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.53$8.62
09-30 20:44Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.57$2.85
09-30 20:34Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?SELL0.4$0.65
09-30 20:25Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.659$3.29
09-30 20:25Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.6599057971$7.29
09-30 20:22Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.56$2.80
09-30 10:40Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2638845727$2.38
09-30 10:34Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.222$3.23
09-30 10:34Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.222$2.86
09-30 10:27Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.253$1.46
09-25 18:12Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.1$10.00
09-24 19:11Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.86997204$25.20
09-23 13:24Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?SELL0.565$6.93
09-21 11:50Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.79$1.10