Elton123
0x8673e56b63b9cec4bbf96b4d4bd01a9333464025
- Realised P&L
- $-59.62
- Volume
- $143.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,021
- Open portfolio
- $192.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,021
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$311.91at 0.005Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$168.73at 0.253Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$168.09at 0.044Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
- +$135.44at 0.129Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$90.44at 0.356Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 20:49 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.851 | $2.62 |
| 09-30 20:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $8.62 |
| 09-30 20:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-30 20:34 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.65 |
| 09-30 20:25 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.659 | $3.29 |
| 09-30 20:25 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.6599057971 | $7.29 |
| 09-30 20:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-30 10:40 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2638845727 | $2.38 |
| 09-30 10:34 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.222 | $3.23 |
| 09-30 10:34 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.222 | $2.86 |
| 09-30 10:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.253 | $1.46 |
| 09-25 18:12 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 19:11 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.86997204 | $25.20 |
| 09-23 13:24 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.565 | $6.93 |
| 09-21 11:50 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.10 |