CactusYuri
0x42718c1c374f4dba75d5531fe49ccc9a09c5be61
- Realised P&L
- $-36.46
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $41.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.670 | $27.47 | −$0.41 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.125 | $10.73 | −$26.16 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $2.95 | −$4.91 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.29at 0.087Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.904Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
- +$2.64at 0.073Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.89at 0.262Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.929Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:43 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0941423002 | $11.59 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $27.88 |
| 09-16 18:22 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 19:49 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 19:48 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2106114286 | $7.37 |
| 09-15 16:33 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 09-15 13:23 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:20 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 13:16 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.28 |
| 09-15 10:07 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0666666667 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:58 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0666666667 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 19:07 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $6.00 |
| 09-11 21:24 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 21:22 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.064 | $3.63 |
| 09-11 21:21 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.0373691968 | $2.03 |