KuchikiDoge
0x965a3e2884fabab1fa8db6e62de0d7b3bb64b4cc
- Realised P&L
- $270.43
- Volume
- $231.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $50.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.009 | $50.26 | +$2.58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Up | 0.565 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.60 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.47at 0.009Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$35.36at 0.894Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?
- +$16.13at 0.232Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
- +$14.81at 0.671Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?
- +$2.15at 0.892Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 11-01 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 11-01 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.437 | $4.37 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.8875 | $17.75 |
| 10-31 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.73 |
| 10-30 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.26 |
| 10-30 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.93 |
| 10-30 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 10-30 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.14 |
| 10-30 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.78 |
| 10-30 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.74 |
| 10-30 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.16 |
| 10-30 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30? | BUY | 0.8499999997 | $320.00 |
| 10-30 13:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.793 | $20.26 |
| 10-30 12:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.7826504773 | $20.00 |