Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04
Rewards: 60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.13 to 0.25. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	31	31
0.15	16	47
0.16	153	200
0.18	85	285
0.19	196	481
0.20	659	1,140
0.21	489	1,629
0.22	733	2,362
0.23	462	2,824
0.24	339	3,163
0.25	133	3,296
0.26	173	3,469

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	232	232
0.11	123	355
0.10	1,295	1,650
0.09	570	2,220
0.07	1,139	3,359
0.06	1,163	4,522
0.05	200	4,722
0.04	2,020	6,742
0.03	5,783	12,525
0.02	5,295	17,820
0.01	10,125	27,945

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	232	232
0.89	123	355
0.90	1,295	1,650
0.91	570	2,220
0.93	1,139	3,359
0.94	1,163	4,522
0.95	200	4,722
0.96	2,020	6,742
0.97	5,783	12,525
0.98	5,295	17,820
0.99	10,125	27,945

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	31	31
0.85	16	47
0.84	153	200
0.82	85	285
0.81	196	481
0.80	659	1,140
0.79	489	1,629
0.78	733	2,362
0.77	462	2,824
0.76	339	3,163
0.75	133	3,296
0.74	173	3,469

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
anoin123	Yes	4,122
Haradwaith	Yes	1,691.85
balthazar	Yes	1,605.05
GroovyCr0c0dil3	Yes	1,499.7
stalllion	Yes	1,185.23
Seeking-Alpha01	Yes	1,162.72
Gaditima	Yes	1,038
ZiK.	Yes	964.27
Quarrelsome-Branch	Yes	799.99
e46m3	Yes	799.29
dsoperative	Yes	795.47
Carecainsano7	Yes	639.03
johnnath1222	Yes	605.01
Reisrz1	Yes	588.93
0xBa28F82246c3420ae99474E51762FfD1fdEb30a5-1759508023469	Yes	430.5
sweetj	Yes	429.7
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	413.15
0x1AD805D2452712DfF29318b60C8089bb116Ab605-1787868278383	Yes	402.09
OkieDokiePeon	Yes	204.39
Sr.Matiaz	Yes	181.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:23:54	BUY	Yes	0.1465380249	182	$26.62
22:21:15	BUY	No	0.8699999998	172	$150.00
22:20:09	BUY	No	0.8699999147	6	$5.00
22:20:09	BUY	No	0.8699994606	1	$1.00
22:20:07	BUY	No	0.8498021071	4,396	$3736.00
22:20:07	SELL	No	0.87	21	$18.07
16:29:24	SELL	Yes	0.17	13	$2.22
14:46:40	BUY	No	0.83	5	$4.15
14:39:31	BUY	No	0.8299999997	321	$266.31
20:27:49	SELL	Yes	0.16	7	$1.12
10:31:03	SELL	No	0.82	5	$4.10
08:07:58	SELL	Yes	0.16	100	$15.99
22:45:16	BUY	Yes	0.1777777778	23	$4.00
21:29:09	SELL	Yes	0.16	6	$0.96
21:29:06	BUY	Yes	0.19	6	$1.14
19:52:30	SELL	No	0.8110818308	72	$58.48
19:52:15	BUY	Yes	0.1851450841	486	$90.00
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.85	30	$25.50
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.85	128	$108.70
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.85	20	$17.03
14:23:46	SELL	Yes	0.14	8	$1.10
13:07:13	BUY	Yes	0.16	7	$1.12
13:07:09	BUY	Yes	0.15	31	$4.63
11:01:09	BUY	Yes	0.15	11	$1.65
10:57:25	SELL	Yes	0.1253359505	132	$16.60