sweetj
0x39a5f94e851642404751cc5310edaa180eac87f2
- Realised P&L
- $16.8k
- Volume
- $2.64M
- Markets traded
- 3,991
- Open portfolio
- $73.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,991
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.748Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$8.4kat 0.072Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
- +$5.2kat 0.163Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
- +$4.4kat 0.039Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$4.2kat 0.074Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.42 | $336.00 |
| 09-16 12:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 40% or more? | BUY | 0.0387221 | $3.87 |
| 09-16 12:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 35% or more? | BUY | 0.0508730303 | $6.72 |
| 09-16 12:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.0367878788 | $4.86 |
| 09-16 12:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.0128122727 | $1.69 |
| 09-16 12:19 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.16 | $18.72 |
| 09-16 12:19 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.1575587657 | $18.43 |
| 09-16 12:18 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more? | BUY | 0.15 | $17.55 |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.57 |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.26 |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 45% or more? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.60 |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.72 |
| 09-16 02:09 | Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 09-16 02:08 | Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.91 | $103.22 |
| 09-16 02:07 | Will Dak Prescott finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards? | BUY | 0.805 | $32.20 |