PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

johnnath1222

0x4b284723fa3c53a46d5217394840ec3b70c615df

Realised P&L
$4.9k
Volume
$1.84M
Markets traded
1,055
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,055
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1320.135$307.02+$5.99
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1150.115$261.61$0.04
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.5860.710$253.23+$44.36
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? · Yes0.2080.245$244.00+$36.74
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1440.120$231.57$46.82
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.1260.130$211.63+$6.20
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.5170.290$134.41$105.08
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? · Yes0.7000.735$130.26+$6.20
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? · No0.7300.765$76.50+$3.50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5300.745$74.50+$21.50
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.105$68.44$7.19
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? · No0.6200.609$66.94$1.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.5200.595$59.50+$7.50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7700.855$56.43+$5.61
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.0700.172$49.87+$29.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:23US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.83$24.96
08-03 18:09Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?BUY0.14$1.54
08-02 22:12Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?BUY0.22$3.30
08-02 06:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.56$54.00
08-02 05:19Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.17$17.00
08-02 04:45Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?BUY0.2246659258$161.74
08-02 04:34Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.88$8.80
08-02 04:31Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?BUY0.18$9.00
08-02 04:31Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?BUY0.18$3.60
08-02 04:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.76$7.66
08-02 04:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.52$52.00
08-02 04:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.75$14.99
08-01 22:44Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?BUY0.17$23.12
08-01 22:44Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?BUY0.16$22.40
08-01 04:07Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%?BUY0.6199090909$68.19