PolyBot

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Traders

johnnath1222

0x4b284723fa3c53a46d5217394840ec3b70c615df

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$2.13M
Markets traded
1,275
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,275
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska? · Yes0.2000.360$381.61+$169.70
Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa? · Yes0.2070.315$261.45+$89.58
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.2460.261$249.10+$13.48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.5900.735$239.78+$47.30
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.5860.605$215.78+$6.92
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.5170.395$183.08−$56.41
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? · No0.7600.727$176.68−$8.02
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.5700.715$172.31+$34.94
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1370.155$168.25+$19.20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.815$162.99+$27.00
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? · Yes0.1470.535$161.01+$116.65
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.2050.185$152.53−$16.70
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.6100.725$145.00+$23.00
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes0.5000.695$124.02+$34.80
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1170.130$120.37+$12.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 04:45Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?BUY0.1953191489$18.36
11-02 03:16Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.2559575$102.38
11-02 03:09Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?BUY0.19$27.60
11-02 03:08Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%?SELL0.16$50.94
11-02 03:05Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?BUY0.1256511235$26.00
11-02 03:03Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.14$140.00
11-02 03:01Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.22$26.84
11-02 03:00Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?SELL0.22$31.46
11-02 02:59Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?SELL0.1563703349$32.68
11-02 00:01Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.112$35.98
11-01 13:49Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?SELL0.1721049677$24.53
11-01 01:21Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?SELL0.27$21.25
10-31 22:44Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?SELL0.0012300201$1.11
10-31 22:34Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?SELL0.216351626$34.06
10-31 22:28Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.7$181.90