johnnath1222
0x4b284723fa3c53a46d5217394840ec3b70c615df
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $1.84M
- Markets traded
- 1,055
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,055
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$820.41at 0.475Will Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?
- +$711.49at 0.227Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 30-40% of the vote?
- +$562.53at 0.280Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?
- +$503.56at 0.107Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$492.86at 0.678Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $24.96 |
| 08-03 18:09 | Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 15–20%? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.54 |
| 08-02 22:12 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.30 |
| 08-02 06:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.56 | $54.00 |
| 08-02 05:19 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 08-02 04:45 | Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.2246659258 | $161.74 |
| 08-02 04:34 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 04:31 | Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 04:31 | Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 04:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.66 |
| 08-02 04:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 08-02 04:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $14.99 |
| 08-01 22:44 | Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.17 | $23.12 |
| 08-01 22:44 | Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.16 | $22.40 |
| 08-01 04:07 | Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? | BUY | 0.6199090909 | $68.19 |