johnnath1222
0x4b284723fa3c53a46d5217394840ec3b70c615df
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $2.01M
- Markets traded
- 1,146
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,146
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$820.41at 0.475Will Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?
- +$711.49at 0.227Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 30-40% of the vote?
- +$598.26at 0.154Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?
- +$574.49at 0.083Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?
- +$562.53at 0.280Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:16 | Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.56 | $85.58 |
| 09-17 03:23 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.68 | $76.79 |
| 09-17 03:22 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.52 |
| 09-15 04:28 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.12325 | $19.72 |
| 09-15 04:25 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.0257922768 | $2.77 |
| 09-15 04:01 | Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | SELL | 0.1216470173 | $10.34 |
| 09-15 03:59 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $115.69 |
| 09-15 03:55 | Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.3275 | $19.65 |
| 09-13 06:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.109395 | $21.88 |
| 09-13 06:41 | Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | SELL | 0.1959 | $19.59 |
| 09-13 06:40 | Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | SELL | 0.204 | $34.48 |
| 09-12 18:37 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $31.98 |
| 09-12 05:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | SELL | 0.1533886345 | $20.43 |
| 09-11 23:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | SELL | 0.1727821391 | $34.55 |
| 09-11 14:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.35 | $37.37 |