PolyBot

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Traders

johnnath1222

0x4b284723fa3c53a46d5217394840ec3b70c615df

Realised P&L
$4.9k
Volume
$2.01M
Markets traded
1,146
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,146
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1430.135$372.07$22.00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1290.125$371.40$13.26
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.5860.765$272.84+$63.98
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1150.155$230.89+$59.56
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6940.675$143.73$4.06
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.5170.235$108.92$130.57
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 25%-30%? · No0.9120.994$100.44+$8.25
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.5600.565$86.34+$0.76
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.2010.115$69.58$52.31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7700.895$59.07+$8.25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.3500.545$58.19+$20.82
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? · No0.8890.993$49.63+$5.17
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? · Yes0.3400.465$33.66+$9.02
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? · No0.6900.610$30.50$4.00
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.180$29.76+$4.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 04:16Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.56$85.58
09-17 03:23Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.68$76.79
09-17 03:22Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.1$3.52
09-15 04:28Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.12325$19.72
09-15 04:25Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.0257922768$2.77
09-15 04:01Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?SELL0.1216470173$10.34
09-15 03:59Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.14$115.69
09-15 03:55Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?BUY0.3275$19.65
09-13 06:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.109395$21.88
09-13 06:41Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?SELL0.1959$19.59
09-13 06:40Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?SELL0.204$34.48
09-12 18:37Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?SELL0.13$31.98
09-12 05:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?SELL0.1533886345$20.43
09-11 23:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?SELL0.1727821391$34.55
09-11 14:43Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.35$37.37