PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1AD805D2452712DfF29318b60C8089bb116Ab605-1787868278383

0x1ad805d2452712dff29318b60c8089bb116ab605

Realised P&L
$130.34
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.4870.600$611.46+$115.31
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · No0.5280.620$532.86+$79.17
Lula participates in debate before first round? · No0.5490.640$232.43+$33.19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.4360.175$70.37$104.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:07Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.4$21.84
09-16 18:12Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.4$32.00
09-16 04:47Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.27$5.40
09-02 17:46Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.43$21.50
09-02 16:46Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.44$22.00
09-02 15:39Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.44$10.56
09-02 15:39Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.46$23.00
09-02 15:11Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.39$13.65
09-02 14:59Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.46$32.20
09-02 14:54Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.43$33.54
09-02 14:35Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.5$35.00
09-02 14:33Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.4709910803$47.52
09-02 14:28Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.3556034483$41.25
09-01 17:32Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.52875$21.15
09-01 17:28Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.53$10.60