PolyBot

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Traders

anoin123

0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825

Realised P&L
$-4.70M
Volume
$126.71M
Markets traded
1,424
Open portfolio
$1.09M

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,424
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8410.992$272.5k+$41.5k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.6040.561$75.8k−$5.8k
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5900.565$47.5k−$2.1k
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7420.997$45.3k+$11.6k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7590.885$39.2k+$5.6k
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5080.825$33.3k+$12.8k
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? · No0.8810.895$33.2k+$504.26
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.3730.265$29.7k−$12.1k
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6150.885$29.2k+$8.9k
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5940.580$28.5k−$704.92
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.5950.585$27.3k−$455.67
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.705$19.9k−$140.84
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No0.8290.996$17.7k+$3.0k
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? · Yes0.7490.655$13.6k−$1.9k
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8600.885$13.1k+$368.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:43Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?BUY0.22$16.87
11-01 01:40US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.06$14.59
10-31 23:40Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.67$96.48
10-30 21:10US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.49$36.88
10-30 21:06Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.6$1.2k
10-30 19:39Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$46.96
10-30 18:07US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.114$0.58
10-30 18:07US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.1567376977$713.47
10-30 17:57Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.29$150.95
10-30 16:43Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.85$589.42
10-30 02:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.977$19.54
10-29 20:32Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?BUY0.12$12.00
10-29 20:03Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2355555556$212.00
10-29 19:35Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?BUY0.1046575879$13.37
10-29 17:48Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$999.75