anoin123
0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
- Realised P&L
- $-5.30M
- Volume
- $118.49M
- Markets traded
- 928
- Open portfolio
- $1.53M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded928
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.6kat 0.175Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$175.4kat 0.388Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$173.0kat 0.832US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$167.5kat 0.682US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$165.7kat 0.051Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:27 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.218 | $36.84 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.8k |
| 09-16 00:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $6.8k |
| 09-16 00:23 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $180.22 |
| 09-16 00:23 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.6k |
| 09-16 00:19 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.178780888 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 21:29 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 16:57 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 16:56 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.55 |
| 09-15 16:53 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $142.60 |
| 09-15 16:52 | Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.695 | $146.51 |
| 09-15 16:51 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $196.90 |
| 09-15 16:50 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.556 | $8.90 |
| 09-15 16:49 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4 | $180.00 |
| 09-15 16:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.988 | $18.8k |