PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

anoin123

0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825

Realised P&L
$-5.37M
Volume
$108.99M
Markets traded
605
Open portfolio
$1.64M

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded605
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7120.925$297.7k+$68.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8140.795$288.5k$6.8k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9320.965$158.3k+$5.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8950.865$113.7k$3.9k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8070.890$95.5k+$8.9k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8630.956$90.0k+$8.7k
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6790.795$57.3k+$8.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6910.585$55.4k$10.1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9740.970$38.8k$149.97
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · No0.8800.890$38.2k+$410.63
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7590.825$36.6k+$2.9k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7120.955$29.6k+$7.5k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9921.000$26.6k+$213.15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.6470.540$25.2k$5.0k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9540.979$24.3k+$604.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:48US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.63$6.30
07-31 16:58Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.9621101389$85.2k
07-30 14:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.9650232497$104.5k
07-29 20:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.045$0.93
07-29 18:39Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.06$299.22
07-29 14:23Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.9651266761$28.2k
07-27 20:27Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.9670778794$63.4k
07-27 16:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.728$4.7k
07-27 02:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.799$4.03
07-26 23:45Netanyahu out by July 31?BUY0.995$1.2k
07-25 02:00Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.62$3.10
07-23 19:07Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.87$4.86
07-23 02:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.751$13.87
07-22 02:05Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.8$12.14
07-21 01:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.07$14.04