anoin123
0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
- Realised P&L
- $-4.70M
- Volume
- $126.71M
- Markets traded
- 1,424
- Open portfolio
- $1.09M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,424
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.6kat 0.175Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$175.4kat 0.388Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$173.0kat 0.832US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$167.5kat 0.682US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$165.7kat 0.051Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:43 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.22 | $16.87 |
| 11-01 01:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $14.59 |
| 10-31 23:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.67 | $96.48 |
| 10-30 21:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.49 | $36.88 |
| 10-30 21:06 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.2k |
| 10-30 19:39 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $46.96 |
| 10-30 18:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.114 | $0.58 |
| 10-30 18:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.1567376977 | $713.47 |
| 10-30 17:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.29 | $150.95 |
| 10-30 16:43 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $589.42 |
| 10-30 02:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $19.54 |
| 10-29 20:32 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 10-29 20:03 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2355555556 | $212.00 |
| 10-29 19:35 | Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.1046575879 | $13.37 |
| 10-29 17:48 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $999.75 |