Reisrz1
0x3188fd21205f4505bc34ada51e188282bc6be496
- Realised P&L
- $-0.47
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $85.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.145 | $85.39 | −$114.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.72at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$63.53at 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$13.26at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
- +$11.32at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$10.79at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4908094834 | $29.26 |
| 09-10 04:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $30.28 |
| 09-10 04:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999881 | $18.49 |
| 09-10 04:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.339598466 | $200.00 |
| 09-10 04:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-10 04:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $68.00 |
| 09-10 04:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3945063805 | $42.57 |
| 09-10 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 04:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999975 | $30.53 |
| 09-10 03:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $23.22 |
| 09-10 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |