a.weidel
0x0213419f10a3803af3f585d39e415b5372b782f6
- Realised P&L
- $-10.3k
- Volume
- $191.3k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.146Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
- +$767.39at 0.204Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$732.27at 0.288Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?
- +$629.81at 0.390Will Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?
- +$395.17at 0.442Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 00:44 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7172515361 | $1.9k |
| 10-15 14:26 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 10-15 14:07 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 10-15 14:07 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 10-15 14:07 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.21 |
| 10-15 14:07 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2951038576 | $198.90 |
| 10-15 14:04 | Will United Torah Judaism win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.85 |
| 10-15 14:04 | Will United Torah Judaism win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0117728821 | $1.56 |
| 10-15 14:03 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 10-14 19:49 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.67 | $683.40 |
| 10-14 19:49 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.6691291208 | $2.3k |
| 10-14 19:02 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2538942985 | $2.5k |
| 10-14 15:05 | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.14 | $17.54 |
| 10-14 15:04 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.8584608411 | $1.4k |
| 10-13 02:16 | Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.79 | $110.60 |