PolyBot

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Traders

a.weidel

0x0213419f10a3803af3f585d39e415b5372b782f6

Realised P&L
$-10.3k
Volume
$191.3k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.2610.145$572.02−$458.32
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.3670.318$513.02−$80.67
Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026? · No0.8050.952$304.48+$46.74
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? · Yes0.1440.495$222.97+$157.94
Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? · No0.7790.675$167.99−$25.86
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.920$156.38+$20.40
Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.7900.905$126.70+$16.10
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.9130.997$59.79+$5.01
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? · Yes0.0800.115$53.88+$16.40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? · Yes0.6490.235$43.42−$76.49
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.1400.145$18.17+$0.63
Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.004$15.03+$11.27
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0360.039$13.19+$1.01
Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.985$9.85+$0.94
Will Levante finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? · No0.1300.979$9.78+$8.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 00:44Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7172515361$1.9k
10-15 14:26Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.01$0.15
10-15 14:07Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.38$3.80
10-15 14:07Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.35$14.00
10-15 14:07Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.33$2.21
10-15 14:07Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.2951038576$198.90
10-15 14:04Will United Torah Judaism win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.02$0.85
10-15 14:04Will United Torah Judaism win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0117728821$1.56
10-15 14:03Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.27$2.70
10-14 19:49Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.67$683.40
10-14 19:49Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.6691291208$2.3k
10-14 19:02Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.2538942985$2.5k
10-14 15:05Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.14$17.54
10-14 15:04Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.8584608411$1.4k
10-13 02:16Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.79$110.60