ZiK.
0xc78eb9cddb4611b48c1309b044fe70945b734718
- Realised P&L
- $42.9k
- Volume
- $2.05M
- Markets traded
- 311
- Open portfolio
- $15.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded311
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.3kat 0.787Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$10.4kat 0.492Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$9.3kat 0.289Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$7.4kat 0.289Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$6.5kat 0.866Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:28 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.1717395556 | $154.57 |
| 08-02 21:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4152581361 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 21:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 21:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $26.91 |
| 08-02 19:31 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.374 | $93.50 |
| 08-02 17:49 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $48.00 |
| 08-02 17:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 17:40 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 16:58 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.48190785 | $192.76 |
| 08-02 16:57 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.48 | $83.52 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $690.00 |
| 08-02 02:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3394183 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 02:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.4368492 | $218.42 |
| 08-02 01:25 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.4637333333 | $556.48 |
| 08-02 01:11 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.46393 | $463.93 |