ZiK.
0xc78eb9cddb4611b48c1309b044fe70945b734718
- Realised P&L
- $33.72
- Volume
- $2.87M
- Markets traded
- 465
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded465
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.5kat 0.791Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$10.3kat 0.495Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$7.4kat 0.293Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$7.4kat 0.291Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$6.3kat 0.868Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 03:03 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.548 | $10.41 |
| 10-26 18:47 | Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.057 | $5.70 |
| 10-26 18:46 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 18:29 | Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.067 | $5.63 |
| 10-26 18:27 | Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.80 |
| 10-25 23:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.6569999925 | $16.00 |
| 10-25 23:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 19:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 10-17 17:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.033 | $16.50 |
| 10-16 15:42 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 15:40 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.0388071333 | $11.64 |
| 10-12 15:27 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.8403888121 | $5.0k |
| 10-12 15:16 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.81 | $43.74 |
| 10-10 12:48 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021469592 | $2.79 |
| 10-10 12:47 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.927994875 | $371.20 |