ZiK.
0xc78eb9cddb4611b48c1309b044fe70945b734718
- Realised P&L
- $33.1k
- Volume
- $2.56M
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $14.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.5kat 0.791Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$10.3kat 0.495Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$7.4kat 0.293Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$7.4kat 0.291Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$6.3kat 0.868Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:08 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.368 | $110.40 |
| 09-16 08:29 | Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.14 | $33.96 |
| 09-15 19:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.1851450841 | $90.00 |
| 09-15 19:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.4897933333 | $146.94 |
| 09-15 15:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $900.00 |
| 09-15 15:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.7655181347 | $147.74 |
| 09-15 15:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.7k |
| 09-15 15:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.0577956633 | $23.00 |
| 09-15 14:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.4841552754 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 10:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $880.00 |
| 09-15 10:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.3k |
| 09-15 08:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.1665275667 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 08:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.4846436095 | $90.00 |
| 09-14 16:28 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.071 | $28.40 |
| 09-14 06:15 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.47 | $470.00 |