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Traders

ZiK.

0xc78eb9cddb4611b48c1309b044fe70945b734718

Realised P&L
$33.1k
Volume
$2.56M
Markets traded
438
Open portfolio
$14.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded438
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4480.445$9.8k$59.93
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.1460.204$1.1k+$319.83
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.195$639.87+$135.48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.4440.485$511.97+$42.86
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.2320.229$297.83$4.99
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.3180.155$217.29$228.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.1730.175$168.75+$2.06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.7650.750$149.89$3.21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.9740.958$143.63$2.48
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.2060.135$120.55$63.08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3680.364$109.35$1.05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1470.142$107.30$3.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2880.175$105.00$68.00
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3350.475$95.00+$28.00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1140.116$84.90+$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:08Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.368$110.40
09-16 08:29Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?SELL0.14$33.96
09-15 19:52Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.1851450841$90.00
09-15 19:45Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.4897933333$146.94
09-15 15:21Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.45$900.00
09-15 15:20Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.7655181347$147.74
09-15 15:18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.45$2.7k
09-15 15:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?BUY0.0577956633$23.00
09-15 14:59Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.4841552754$100.00
09-15 10:52Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.44$880.00
09-15 10:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.44$1.3k
09-15 08:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.1665275667$50.00
09-15 08:33Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.4846436095$90.00
09-14 16:28Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.071$28.40
09-14 06:15Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.47$470.00
Trader ZiK. · PolyBot Pro