PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ZiK.

0xc78eb9cddb4611b48c1309b044fe70945b734718

Realised P&L
$42.9k
Volume
$2.05M
Markets traded
311
Open portfolio
$15.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded311
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6020.655$3.6k+$292.52
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3590.390$1.8k+$142.87
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0920.140$1.7k+$585.31
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.4210.373$1.7k$217.74
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6600.786$1.6k+$253.67
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · No0.2720.385$1.4k+$406.26
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6130.465$998.66$318.96
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.4590.514$501.12+$54.04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4110.495$495.00+$84.00
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3400.325$487.49$22.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.140$420.00$150.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6571.000$399.80+$136.80
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1000.085$212.50$37.50
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.1340.167$116.55+$23.05
Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? · Yes0.0930.112$55.75+$9.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:28Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.1717395556$154.57
08-02 21:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.4152581361$1.4k
08-02 21:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.22$1.3k
08-02 21:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.23$26.91
08-02 19:31Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.374$93.50
08-02 17:49Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.24$48.00
08-02 17:44Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?SELL0.05$100.00
08-02 17:40Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.05$25.00
08-02 16:58Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.48190785$192.76
08-02 16:57Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.48$83.52
08-02 02:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.23$690.00
08-02 02:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3394183$1.0k
08-02 02:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.4368492$218.42
08-02 01:25Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.4637333333$556.48
08-02 01:11Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.46393$463.93