PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ZiK.

0xc78eb9cddb4611b48c1309b044fe70945b734718

Realised P&L
$33.72
Volume
$2.87M
Markets traded
465
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded465
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.8640.716$5.7k−$1.2k
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0110.011$21.00−$1.00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0390.041$12.15+$0.51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 · Yes0.0330.018$8.75−$7.75
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5480.439$8.33−$2.08
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · No0.0830.037$3.70−$4.60
Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? · Yes0.1690.038$3.41−$11.57
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0770.001$1.03−$157.79
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$13.90
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.3480.000$0.00−$1.9k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$46.35
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? · No0.4770.000$0.00−$1.81
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$66.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 03:03Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.548$10.41
10-26 18:47Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.057$5.70
10-26 18:46Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 18:29Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.067$5.63
10-26 18:27Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.006$1.80
10-25 23:18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?BUY0.6569999925$16.00
10-25 23:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?SELL0.1$5.00
10-20 19:25Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.36$18.00
10-17 17:25Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026BUY0.033$16.50
10-16 15:42Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.011$22.00
10-16 15:40GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.0388071333$11.64
10-12 15:27Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.8403888121$5.0k
10-12 15:16Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.81$43.74
10-10 12:48Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?SELL0.021469592$2.79
10-10 12:47Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.927994875$371.20