GroovyCr0c0dil3
0xa066af596a282d3d10cc20f9fd76a9fb833d710b
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $286.3k
- Markets traded
- 410
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded410
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.053Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
- +$556.50at 0.275Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
- +$495.44at 0.263Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
- +$430.07at 0.292Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
- +$427.31at 0.409Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:25 | Will Simone Tebet be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? | SELL | 0.86 | $28.32 |
| 11-01 10:04 | Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $19.82 |
| 11-01 10:04 | Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting? | BUY | 0.8212636364 | $180.68 |
| 11-01 10:03 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.961 | $62.46 |
| 11-01 09:06 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.82 |
| 11-01 09:04 | Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1? | SELL | 0.49 | $15.62 |
| 11-01 04:29 | Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1? | SELL | 0.4284615385 | $55.70 |
| 11-01 03:47 | Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1? | SELL | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 23:24 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%? | BUY | 0.84 | $126.86 |
| 10-31 23:23 | Will Paulo Guedes be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? | SELL | 0.967119403 | $19.44 |
| 10-31 23:23 | Will Paulo Guedes be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? | SELL | 0.9824923795 | $71.55 |
| 10-31 23:00 | Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1? | BUY | 0.55 | $84.93 |
| 10-31 15:29 | Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.81 | $121.50 |
| 10-31 15:18 | Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1? | SELL | 0.74 | $38.77 |
| 10-31 15:01 | Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |