PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GroovyCr0c0dil3

0xa066af596a282d3d10cc20f9fd76a9fb833d710b

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$286.3k
Markets traded
410
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded410
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? · No0.8180.942$570.63+$74.58
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%? · No0.8230.781$506.76−$27.14
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%? · No0.8040.952$341.45+$53.03
Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security? · No0.8550.940$330.97+$30.00
Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · Yes0.7900.740$296.00−$19.91
Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs? · No0.8700.960$292.80+$27.54
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? · No0.8560.965$290.34+$32.78
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting? · No0.8230.820$208.17−$0.77
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027? · No0.8600.830$183.57−$6.72
Will Lamine Yamal rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? · No0.7660.725$145.64−$8.28
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8100.840$126.00+$4.50
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? · Yes0.5360.480$96.57−$11.32
Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? · Yes0.0100.410$84.90+$82.76
Will Rui Costa be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense? · Yes0.0100.445$83.82+$81.88
Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense? · No0.9030.955$80.46+$4.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:25Will Simone Tebet be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?SELL0.86$28.32
11-01 10:04Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?BUY0.86$19.82
11-01 10:04Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?BUY0.8212636364$180.68
11-01 10:03Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?SELL0.961$62.46
11-01 09:06Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?BUY0.42$8.82
11-01 09:04Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?SELL0.49$15.62
11-01 04:29Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?SELL0.4284615385$55.70
11-01 03:47Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?SELL0.5$40.00
10-31 23:24Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?BUY0.84$126.86
10-31 23:23Will Paulo Guedes be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?SELL0.967119403$19.44
10-31 23:23Will Paulo Guedes be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?SELL0.9824923795$71.55
10-31 23:00Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?BUY0.55$84.93
10-31 15:29Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.81$121.50
10-31 15:18Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?SELL0.74$38.77
10-31 15:01Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?SELL0.74$14.80