OkieDokiePeon
0x9ddfa4d5b954379a03d19f87df36b9820b862c83
- Realised P&L
- $23.9k
- Volume
- $8.33M
- Markets traded
- 1,677
- Open portfolio
- $49.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,677
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.037Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
- +$6.8kat 0.040Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$5.3kat 0.422Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$5.2kat 0.563Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?
- +$5.0kat 0.153Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $92.25 |
| 08-02 21:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.22 |
| 08-02 21:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.62 | $499.48 |
| 08-02 21:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.63 | $235.53 |
| 08-02 20:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $13.42 |
| 08-02 20:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $159.85 |
| 08-02 20:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $147.00 |
| 08-02 20:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 08-02 19:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $271.46 |
| 08-02 19:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3968998273 | $13.79 |
| 08-02 19:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $353.36 |
| 08-02 18:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.64 | $597.47 |
| 08-02 18:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.7547433447 | $165.85 |
| 08-02 16:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $125.54 |
| 08-02 16:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $271.58 |