PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dsoperative

0x4be5bfbdc705157e075d21ea1926594a03aac1b3

Realised P&L
$10.8k
Volume
$1.35M
Markets traded
502
Open portfolio
$42.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded502
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5780.705$7.0k+$1.3k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5140.705$4.9k+$1.3k
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5810.735$4.4k+$925.02
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.6621.000$4.0k+$1.3k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6220.705$2.2k+$261.25
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4650.425$2.1k−$200.00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.5400.735$1.5k+$390.00
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.6750.655$1.3k−$40.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7500.955$1.2k+$266.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.964$964.00+$143.70
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9000.945$945.00+$45.00
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8100.910$910.01+$100.00
Modi out by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.895$895.26+$75.02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.875$875.00+$95.00
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.1980.430$859.97+$463.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:35Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.6997$699.70
10-29 21:20Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?BUY0.9684758753$444.80
10-29 21:01Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?SELL0.91$44.74
10-29 16:07Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?BUY0.19$152.00
10-29 08:45Will Viktor Orbán be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?BUY0.061009037$82.36
10-27 18:23Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.73$5.5k
10-27 18:19Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.73$4.7k
10-27 16:59Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.72$43.19
10-27 16:09Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.78$19.50
10-27 15:35Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.78$156.00
10-26 15:55Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.328$53.36
10-26 15:54Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.6205090451$620.50
10-26 10:14Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.67$669.99
10-26 06:04Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.924$284.90
10-26 03:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?SELL0.999$668.50