PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dsoperative

0x4be5bfbdc705157e075d21ea1926594a03aac1b3

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
414
Open portfolio
$28.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded414
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6710.635$8.3k$465.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8520.935$5.7k+$509.06
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.6430.977$2.6k+$900.90
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.5770.655$1.6k+$195.51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7500.925$1.2k+$227.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2290.247$1.2k+$90.63
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8100.885$885.01+$75.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.745$745.00$35.00
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.7580.976$682.84+$152.45
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.935$467.50+$22.50
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8140.895$446.31+$40.18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.655$425.75+$100.75
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.8900.933$393.00+$18.31
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No0.8500.947$382.83+$39.03
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.3740.940$328.33+$197.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 15:24Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3175$317.50
07-18 19:06Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.77$552.09
07-15 20:17England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.225$225.00
07-15 16:27Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.91$63.69
07-14 20:29France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0975$97.50
07-14 20:21France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.41$82.00
07-14 19:53France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.31$120.45
07-14 16:54Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?BUY0.08$80.00
07-12 18:05Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSELL0.9$2.7k
07-12 16:41Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.6$1.8k
07-11 17:04UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.72$2.1k
07-11 15:38Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.39$468.00
07-10 14:32Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.2425$242.50
07-09 16:12President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.91$455.00
07-08 20:21President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.91$73.46