dsoperative
0x4be5bfbdc705157e075d21ea1926594a03aac1b3
- Realised P&L
- $10.8k
- Volume
- $1.35M
- Markets traded
- 502
- Open portfolio
- $42.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded502
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.062Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$6.9kat 0.395Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$4.1kat 0.379Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$4.1kat 0.671Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$2.7kat 0.580Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:35 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.6997 | $699.70 |
| 10-29 21:20 | Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31? | BUY | 0.9684758753 | $444.80 |
| 10-29 21:01 | Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $44.74 |
| 10-29 16:07 | Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $152.00 |
| 10-29 08:45 | Will Viktor Orbán be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.061009037 | $82.36 |
| 10-27 18:23 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.5k |
| 10-27 18:19 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.73 | $4.7k |
| 10-27 16:59 | Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.72 | $43.19 |
| 10-27 16:09 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.78 | $19.50 |
| 10-27 15:35 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.78 | $156.00 |
| 10-26 15:55 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.328 | $53.36 |
| 10-26 15:54 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.6205090451 | $620.50 |
| 10-26 10:14 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $669.99 |
| 10-26 06:04 | Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.924 | $284.90 |
| 10-26 03:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.999 | $668.50 |