Sr.Matiaz
0x78b86613232a7a1237b35b25623a15bf95ed769d
- Realised P&L
- $-790.91
- Volume
- $32.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.805 | 0.775 | $4.9k | −$188.88 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.569 | 0.445 | $1.4k | −$392.24 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.447 | $73.26 | −$4.64 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.052 | $7.61 | −$4.39 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.22at 0.306Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$-11.72at 0.257Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-37.26at 0.024Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-50.20at 0.025Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-103.35at 0.343Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 13:22 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4747928716 | $77.90 |
| 09-14 13:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.1545023919 | $82.36 |
| 09-13 05:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.2237250185 | $39.80 |
| 09-13 04:48 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0114365736 | $42.18 |
| 09-11 15:19 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0240638427 | $81.19 |
| 09-11 14:57 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.51 |
| 09-11 14:56 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $4.59 |
| 09-11 14:55 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.02 |
| 09-11 14:55 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.018009519 | $93.99 |
| 09-11 14:54 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0235227344 | $122.79 |
| 09-10 22:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999998 | $96.76 |
| 09-10 22:34 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4576307727 | $101.57 |
| 09-10 02:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.88 |
| 09-09 19:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899999978 | $40.00 |
| 09-09 17:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $160.00 |