Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04
Rewards: 100 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.45. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.43. Range 0.41 to 0.49. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	27,908	27,908
0.46	20,408	48,316
0.47	36,433	84,750
0.48	17,522	102,271
0.49	28,129	130,401
0.50	12,180	142,581
0.51	7,463	150,044
0.52	5,265	155,309
0.53	14,025	169,334
0.54	1,600	170,934
0.55	5,450	176,384
0.56	303	176,687

Spread0.01Mid0.45

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	85,321	85,321
0.43	75,652	160,972
0.42	40,384	201,356
0.41	14,691	216,047
0.40	9,510	225,557
0.39	3,865	229,422
0.38	2,311	231,733
0.37	1,350	233,083
0.36	1,000	234,083
0.35	2,098	236,181
0.34	1,100	237,281
0.33	107	237,388

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	85,321	85,321
0.57	75,652	160,972
0.58	40,384	201,356
0.59	14,691	216,047
0.60	9,510	225,557
0.61	3,865	229,422
0.62	2,311	231,733
0.63	1,350	233,083
0.64	1,000	234,083
0.65	2,098	236,181
0.66	1,100	237,281
0.67	107	237,388

Spread0.01Mid0.56

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	27,908	27,908
0.54	20,408	48,316
0.53	36,433	84,750
0.52	17,522	102,271
0.51	28,129	130,401
0.50	12,180	142,581
0.49	7,463	150,044
0.48	5,265	155,309
0.47	14,025	169,334
0.46	1,600	170,934
0.45	5,450	176,384
0.44	303	176,687

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
unknwnfnd	Yes	894,659.48
TheReturnOfDarthMaul	Yes	574,826.14
ScottyNooo	Yes	308,585.63
flawfence	Yes	150,781.2
hideki.hirata	Yes	108,273.21
Pvgren	Yes	73,909.91
sassy31535	Yes	70,230.36
Eire	Yes	60,000.28
StudentMoney	Yes	57,766.58
neutralwave23	Yes	52,759.79
0x58f1…abdd	Yes	36,039.31
MisTKy	Yes	33,774.39
diadjaid	Yes	33,500.03
abed1	Yes	31,674.35
Hedger87	Yes	30,629.93
Pelu22	Yes	27,579.72
Passoafrente	Yes	25,607.62
Outsid3rTrading	Yes	24,999.74
ZiK.	Yes	23,800.03
ForaPT26	Yes	23,430.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:18:03	SELL	Yes	0.44	9	$4.06
19:27:06	BUY	Yes	0.4499999971	121	$54.28
19:21:19	BUY	Yes	0.4499999704	3	$1.52
19:19:18	SELL	Yes	0.44	50	$22.00
19:10:25	SELL	Yes	0.44	150	$66.00
18:41:55	SELL	No	0.55	1	$0.55
18:41:37	SELL	Yes	0.44	1	$0.44
18:26:21	BUY	Yes	0.4499998425	2	$1.00
17:19:54	SELL	Yes	0.44	268	$117.86
16:57:43	BUY	No	0.5599999686	10	$5.70
16:48:12	BUY	Yes	0.4499999993	67	$30.19
16:34:10	SELL	Yes	0.44	7	$3.03
16:32:16	BUY	Yes	0.4499999927	7	$3.10
16:18:42	SELL	Yes	0.44	313	$137.50
15:53:55	BUY	Yes	0.4499999438	4	$2.00
14:51:33	SELL	Yes	0.44	350	$154.00
14:42:42	BUY	Yes	0.45	200	$90.00
13:45:51	BUY	Yes	0.44	96	$42.24
13:45:37	BUY	Yes	0.44	500	$220.00
13:34:45	BUY	Yes	0.44	1,200	$528.00
13:30:30	SELL	Yes	0.43	2,000	$860.01
13:30:13	SELL	Yes	0.44	5,245	$2307.78
13:26:30	SELL	Yes	0.44	10	$4.40
13:12:09	SELL	Yes	0.44	75	$33.00
13:07:39	BUY	Yes	0.45	6	$2.80