Pvgren
0x98e46f965edee1ef104e6f95d116e2748d59fdc0
- Realised P&L
- $-25.9k
- Volume
- $507.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $20.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.595 | $9.3k | +$1.2k |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.654 | 0.715 | $7.6k | +$648.83 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.565 | $2.8k | −$71.66 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.629 | 0.642 | $797.75 | +$16.98 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.575 | $245.41 | +$14.94 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.502 | 0.426 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.630Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
- +$4.42at 0.760Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$1.75at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$1.71at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
- +$1.41at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:34 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5019999679 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:40 | South Carolina vs. Oklahoma | SELL | 0.19 | $238.31 |
| 10-31 21:39 | South Carolina vs. Oklahoma | SELL | 0.2349180328 | $128.97 |
| 10-31 20:37 | South Carolina vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 20:37 | South Carolina vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 20:34 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6827562 | $1.0k |
| 10-31 20:14 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 20:14 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.0k |
| 10-31 19:38 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.0k |
| 10-31 18:39 | Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group A | SELL | 0.95 | $2.06 |
| 10-31 17:46 | UAB vs. South Florida | SELL | 0.11 | $225.66 |
| 10-31 16:13 | UAB vs. South Florida | BUY | 0.439406678 | $901.43 |
| 10-31 16:11 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-31 16:02 | Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group A | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:56 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.9k |