Pvgren
0x98e46f965edee1ef104e6f95d116e2748d59fdc0
- Realised P&L
- $-7.2k
- Volume
- $73.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $32.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.542 | 0.445 | $32.9k | −$7.2k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Down | 0.592 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.42at 0.760Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$3.35at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
- +$1.55at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4599999988 | $99.70 |
| 09-10 13:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 05:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.8k |
| 09-09 05:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 09-08 21:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 09-08 21:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $530.00 |
| 09-08 13:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.55 | $514.79 |
| 09-08 13:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.54 | $138.60 |
| 09-08 13:48 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $565.42 |
| 09-08 13:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $430.97 |
| 09-08 13:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.1k |
| 09-08 13:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.1k |
| 09-08 13:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 09-08 13:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 09-08 06:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.56 | $976.15 |