Hedger87
0x84f96b36d2c08d42601078bdccc8807e2bba451a
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $128.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $21.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.655 | $20.1k | +$5.4k |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.248 | $721.87 | −$80.50 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.006 | $101.05 | −$187.84 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.003 | $59.85 | −$497.49 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $47.96 | −$28.27 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 12:46 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0159679336 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 12:46 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0143018197 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 12:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.57 | $285.00 |
| 06-17 00:24 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0200402233 | $95.54 |
| 06-17 00:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.51 | $102.00 |
| 06-07 00:19 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $26.24 |
| 06-07 00:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.27804 | $27.80 |
| 06-06 01:53 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.028 | $58.58 |
| 06-06 01:53 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0279081264 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 01:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.41 | $164.00 |
| 05-26 02:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $400.00 |
| 05-26 02:01 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0922501 | $92.25 |
| 05-26 01:30 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.08192443 | $81.92 |
| 05-26 01:30 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.08559999 | $85.60 |
| 05-25 18:21 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.06437901 | $128.76 |