abed1
0xf81c4580fa778a3a2560259b65909618bfe5ccea
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $325.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $34.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.13at 0.810Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$90.04at 0.847Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
- +$65.60at 0.665Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$52.86at 0.630Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
- +$50.13at 0.799Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 06:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.773639768 | $10.7k |
| 09-15 06:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5626580172 | $5.1k |
| 09-15 05:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4439041787 | $16.5k |
| 04-27 05:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4049849884 | $1.8k |
| 04-27 05:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.8k |
| 04-27 01:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3935815482 | $407.35 |
| 04-27 01:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $407.00 |
| 04-27 00:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3933258875 | $374.00 |
| 04-27 00:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $370.00 |
| 04-26 23:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3900223693 | $180.00 |
| 04-26 23:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.368564 | $184.28 |
| 04-26 23:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3909565578 | $45.00 |
| 04-26 23:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 04-26 23:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3896217039 | $140.00 |
| 04-26 23:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $148.00 |