sassy31535
0x30b6fe3508ac9c2ec69c7967452a26cea97f0bb7
- Realised P&L
- $9.4k
- Volume
- $75.2k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $46.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.519 | 0.655 | $46.0k | +$9.5k |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.247 | $694.48 | −$5.95 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 22:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.364 | $41.30 |
| 04-06 22:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.42 | $459.90 |
| 03-06 20:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.50 |
| 02-03 12:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.8k |
| 02-02 16:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $936.00 |
| 01-22 19:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.9k |
| 01-22 12:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.1k |
| 01-19 16:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.80 |
| 01-14 15:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $7.36 |
| 01-14 13:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $676.00 |