Pelu22
0x5fe28e630e5eefde4b8d051f4844c41989a00331
- Realised P&L
- $7.4k
- Volume
- $55.2k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $27.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.541 | $14.9k | +$5.8k |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.445 | $12.3k | +$1.3k |
| Solana Up or Down - March 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Down | 0.368 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.74 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 23:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $20.67 |
| 04-22 21:48 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $193.36 |
| 04-22 21:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $57.02 |
| 04-22 20:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $935.61 |
| 04-22 18:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $56.94 |
| 04-22 18:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $60.33 |
| 04-22 17:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.1k |
| 04-22 17:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 04-22 17:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.5k |
| 04-22 13:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $938.34 |
| 04-22 13:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3958108557 | $952.36 |
| 04-21 19:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $116.61 |
| 04-21 19:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.399 | $119.30 |
| 03-29 01:51 | Solana Up or Down - March 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1993670706 | $7.40 |