TheReturnOfDarthMaul
0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699
- Realised P&L
- $1.64M
- Volume
- $28.05M
- Markets traded
- 1,217
- Open portfolio
- $1.85M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,217
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.05Mat 0.655Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$240.1kat 0.591Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$153.8kat 0.400Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$73.6kat 0.456Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
- +$59.3kat 0.493Fed rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:16 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.409375 | $327.50 |
| 11-01 14:12 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5200123408 | $7.8k |
| 11-01 01:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.22 | $33.1k |
| 11-01 01:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.23 | $35.2k |
| 11-01 01:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.23 | $0.23 |
| 11-01 00:52 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5446779911 | $3.0k |
| 10-30 20:54 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8309176549 | $2.5k |
| 10-30 20:28 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8770097455 | $1.3k |
| 10-30 20:17 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9495111867 | $1.4k |
| 10-30 20:00 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.554 | $11.63 |
| 10-30 19:29 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4388266 | $438.83 |
| 10-30 19:28 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3232967273 | $355.63 |
| 10-30 18:55 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $313.60 |
| 10-30 18:48 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6674716563 | $2.1k |
| 10-30 18:45 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5067906977 | $653.76 |