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Traders

TheReturnOfDarthMaul

0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699

Realised P&L
$1.62M
Volume
$25.97M
Markets traded
1,189
Open portfolio
$1.67M

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,189
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7930.948$562.6k+$91.9k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6020.445$255.8k$90.3k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9040.914$161.6k+$1.7k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8240.705$104.3k$17.6k
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.8700.456$63.6k$57.8k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.6660.875$61.9k+$14.8k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9390.990$50.2k+$2.6k
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8510.455$48.2k$41.9k
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · No0.7800.965$42.9k+$8.2k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.7520.930$35.5k+$6.8k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8870.970$32.0k+$2.7k
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.8790.983$28.2k+$3.0k
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8490.982$26.4k+$3.6k
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · No0.8290.945$22.7k+$2.8k
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.8630.961$19.9k+$2.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:48Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.942$3.8k
09-16 20:39Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.912$959.66
09-16 20:36Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.55$973.63
09-16 20:34Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.81$4.7k
09-16 16:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$31.5k
09-16 15:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$88.0k
09-16 14:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$86.4k
09-15 19:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.9$45.0k
09-15 18:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.89$44.5k
09-15 18:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$88.0k
09-15 13:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.87$73.1k
09-14 20:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.87$452.40
09-14 20:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.87$452.40
09-14 18:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.86$447.20
09-14 18:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.86$455.80
Trader TheReturnOfDarthMaul · PolyBot Pro