TheReturnOfDarthMaul
0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699
- Realised P&L
- $1.62M
- Volume
- $25.97M
- Markets traded
- 1,189
- Open portfolio
- $1.67M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,189
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.97Mat 0.661Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$153.4kat 0.400Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$70.4kat 0.460Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
- +$59.3kat 0.493Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$52.6kat 0.983Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:48 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.942 | $3.8k |
| 09-16 20:39 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.912 | $959.66 |
| 09-16 20:36 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $973.63 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.7k |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $31.5k |
| 09-16 15:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.0k |
| 09-16 14:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $86.4k |
| 09-15 19:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.0k |
| 09-15 18:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.5k |
| 09-15 18:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.0k |
| 09-15 13:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $73.1k |
| 09-14 20:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $452.40 |
| 09-14 20:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $452.40 |
| 09-14 18:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $447.20 |
| 09-14 18:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $455.80 |