unknwnfnd
0xbc75cabb772f1da1c1772430620da0174c453f69
- Realised P&L
- $154.4k
- Volume
- $1.75M
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $664.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.655 | $456.3k | +$114.6k |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.854 | 0.923 | $206.7k | +$15.6k |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.095 | $1.1k | −$498.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.2kat 0.899Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.4kat 0.749Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$491.91at 0.948Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$201.48at 0.960Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$38.24at 0.394Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 16:04 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 08-01 16:02 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 08-01 15:37 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.928 | $4.6k |
| 07-08 20:50 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.07 | $244.65 |
| 07-01 11:42 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9144871795 | $35.67 |
| 07-01 11:41 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9153680582 | $71.70 |
| 07-01 11:41 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9149066006 | $70.14 |
| 07-01 11:40 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9039088399 | $392.86 |
| 07-01 11:39 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8970443576 | $546.43 |
| 06-22 14:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.769 | $2.31 |
| 06-16 14:15 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $46.11 |
| 06-16 14:14 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.869 | $25.38 |
| 06-16 14:13 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.869 | $25.38 |
| 06-16 14:13 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.869 | $25.38 |
| 06-16 14:13 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.869 | $51.98 |