PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

unknwnfnd

0xbc75cabb772f1da1c1772430620da0174c453f69

Realised P&L
$154.4k
Volume
$1.75M
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$664.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4900.655$456.3k+$114.6k
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8540.923$206.7k+$15.6k
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1390.095$1.1k$498.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 16:04Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.93$930.00
08-01 16:02Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.93$930.00
08-01 15:37Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.928$4.6k
07-08 20:50Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.07$244.65
07-01 11:42Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9144871795$35.67
07-01 11:41Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9153680582$71.70
07-01 11:41Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9149066006$70.14
07-01 11:40Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9039088399$392.86
07-01 11:39Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8970443576$546.43
06-22 14:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.769$2.31
06-16 14:15Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.87$46.11
06-16 14:14Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.869$25.38
06-16 14:13Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.869$25.38
06-16 14:13Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.869$25.38
06-16 14:13Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.869$51.98