PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Eire

0xda66ddc4529eb7ac68add4eca06c37cdcde03f38

Realised P&L
$-41.3k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
470
Open portfolio
$66.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded470
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6150.445$26.7k$10.2k
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8500.935$15.9k+$1.5k
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9450.990$4.5k+$198.28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8360.765$2.7k$252.30
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7240.765$2.6k+$139.10
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No0.8100.945$2.3k+$326.16
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.8700.951$2.3k+$194.40
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · No0.7260.997$1.2k+$327.76
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.8460.595$1.1k$474.28
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8930.885$1.1k$10.22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.6800.895$707.74+$170.02
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9590.960$686.87+$0.67
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.7010.605$539.43$86.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? · No0.8800.965$482.50+$42.50
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.350$406.00$104.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:40Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.61$122.00
09-17 20:03Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5397533613$128.46
09-17 14:51Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.958$589.99
09-17 12:31Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.94$564.00
09-15 13:38Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
09-15 13:37Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$96.00
09-15 08:29Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.1258915892$74.64
09-15 08:28Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.88$1.0k
09-14 04:48Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?BUY0.77$77.00
09-14 04:48Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?BUY0.91$33.67
09-14 04:47Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?BUY0.8307$83.07
09-14 04:47Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?BUY0.755236$75.52
09-14 04:46Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?BUY0.7372222222$66.35
09-14 04:46Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?BUY0.84$42.00
09-14 04:45Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?BUY0.8971626823$88.57