Eire
0xda66ddc4529eb7ac68add4eca06c37cdcde03f38
- Realised P&L
- $-115.5k
- Volume
- $1.92M
- Markets traded
- 506
- Open portfolio
- $23.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded506
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.4kat 0.764US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$9.4kat 0.847US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.8kat 0.865US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.901Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$2.7kat 0.644Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.8192946103 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 17:44 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.6677148031 | $6.5k |
| 10-29 11:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 10-29 11:12 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $53.31 |
| 10-29 11:11 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 10-29 08:38 | Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.976 | $40.02 |
| 10-29 08:38 | Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.978 | $26.41 |
| 10-29 08:38 | Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9569030476 | $100.47 |
| 10-29 08:37 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.972 | $19.43 |
| 10-29 08:37 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.972 | $35.96 |
| 10-29 08:37 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.972 | $35.96 |
| 10-29 08:36 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9675888669 | $1.2k |
| 10-28 22:13 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 10-28 21:48 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8793958333 | $105.53 |
| 10-28 20:47 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7399809554 | $4.1k |