Eire
0xda66ddc4529eb7ac68add4eca06c37cdcde03f38
- Realised P&L
- $-41.3k
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 470
- Open portfolio
- $66.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded470
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.4kat 0.764US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$9.4kat 0.847US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.8kat 0.865US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.901Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$2.7kat 0.644Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:40 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 09-17 20:03 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5397533613 | $128.46 |
| 09-17 14:51 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.958 | $589.99 |
| 09-17 12:31 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.94 | $564.00 |
| 09-15 13:38 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:37 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $96.00 |
| 09-15 08:29 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.1258915892 | $74.64 |
| 09-15 08:28 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.0k |
| 09-14 04:48 | Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-14 04:48 | Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland? | BUY | 0.91 | $33.67 |
| 09-14 04:47 | Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? | BUY | 0.8307 | $83.07 |
| 09-14 04:47 | Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | BUY | 0.755236 | $75.52 |
| 09-14 04:46 | Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | BUY | 0.7372222222 | $66.35 |
| 09-14 04:46 | Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-14 04:45 | Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | BUY | 0.8971626823 | $88.57 |