diadjaid
0x784feec38475dc47e63c3a16cbd24b905dab5df9
- Realised P&L
- $91.9k
- Volume
- $15.83M
- Markets traded
- 436
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded436
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.1kat 0.318Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$26.8kat 0.438Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$22.4kat 0.008Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$20.2kat 0.362Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$19.2kat 0.039Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:36 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.023 | $144.95 |
| 10-31 21:22 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.409 | $818.00 |
| 10-31 21:17 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3343358629 | $1.0k |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.27175555 | $1.1k |
| 10-29 17:38 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.2864447714 | $1.0k |
| 10-29 17:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5219397125 | $4.2k |
| 10-28 12:17 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0497610758 | $597.13 |
| 10-27 17:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.9k |
| 10-25 23:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $355.50 |
| 10-25 22:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.3k |
| 10-25 22:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6665933619 | $1.4k |
| 10-23 01:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.235590075 | $1.4k |
| 10-21 15:26 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $400.00 |
| 10-18 17:27 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.043 | $344.00 |
| 10-18 17:25 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $96.00 |