PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StudentMoney

0xfb5148fc7223630e0967dbfa8cd920d83ab4742d

Realised P&L
$8.1k
Volume
$24.98M
Markets traded
1,626
Open portfolio
$319.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,626
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6510.830$93.3k+$20.1k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3790.542$70.2k+$21.2k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3040.360$27.0k+$4.3k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4790.445$25.7k$1.9k
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6940.855$24.5k+$4.6k
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2440.245$16.3k+$28.53
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8700.875$8.3k+$47.64
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.9140.913$7.5k$11.81
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.7010.875$5.7k+$1.1k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.9590.958$5.1k$9.84
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · No0.8870.930$4.2k+$196.31
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8220.877$3.1k+$196.77
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.5990.585$2.9k$72.14
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8300.755$2.4k$238.89
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.9060.957$2.1k+$111.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:43Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.023$69.00
09-16 16:36Will Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.95$475.00
09-16 14:01Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.023$230.00
09-15 19:43Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.9598038925$90.74
09-15 06:16Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.955$69.49
09-14 21:04Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.83$2.6k
09-14 17:46Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?SELL0.07$1.40
09-14 17:44Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?BUY0.33$0.22
09-13 20:55Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?SELL0.47$27.10
09-13 19:15US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBUY0.76$228.00
09-13 16:28Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7$14.00
09-13 08:30Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?SELL0.38$25.29
09-13 08:25Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?SELL0.86$185.41
09-12 23:10Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.7858505915$463.70
09-12 23:06Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.8054871434$800.37