PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StudentMoney

0xfb5148fc7223630e0967dbfa8cd920d83ab4742d

Realised P&L
$-191.4k
Volume
$26.86M
Markets traded
1,740
Open portfolio
$173.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,740
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6510.862$85.0k+$20.8k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3690.403$29.0k+$2.4k
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9860.986$11.8k−$8.59
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · No0.8610.960$9.2k+$949.02
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9860.984$7.9k−$16.96
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7290.915$7.2k+$1.5k
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2200.115$5.8k−$5.3k
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8210.890$3.3k+$256.97
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6720.650$2.3k−$77.30
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · No0.9330.972$1.9k+$73.93
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7400.765$1.6k+$51.08
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? · No0.8070.944$1.2k+$178.71
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0130.019$1.1k+$363.55
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7150.775$1.1k+$82.12
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6250.690$735.88+$69.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:56Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.988$950.65
11-01 18:56Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.988$39.52
11-01 11:10Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.983$1.1k
11-01 11:10Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9848946452$2.8k
10-31 21:42Hawks vs. PelicansBUY0.37$83.25
10-31 21:41Hawks vs. PelicansBUY0.37$8.5k
10-31 21:0776ers vs. HornetsBUY0.48$720.00
10-31 21:0476ers vs. HornetsBUY0.48$6.1k
10-31 20:18Trail Blazers vs. JazzSELL0.06$1.2k
10-31 18:20Trail Blazers vs. JazzBUY0.3$5.8k
10-30 22:32Pistons vs. NetsBUY0.27$2.6k
10-30 22:28Pistons vs. NetsBUY0.27$4.1k
10-30 18:25Rockets vs. MavericksBUY0.32$4.1k
10-30 07:11Pistons vs. NetsBUY0.27$69.52
10-29 22:32Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.16$4.8k