PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Outsid3rTrading

0xf1ef8705e9f63c790c6fffd6329aea7011718cd6

Realised P&L
$49.2k
Volume
$16.49M
Markets traded
2,296
Open portfolio
$312.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,296
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.988$74.1k+$36.6k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8600.945$28.4k+$2.6k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8270.945$28.3k+$3.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8140.825$18.2k+$250.96
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9050.955$14.3k+$750.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9380.971$11.7k+$392.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9200.945$9.4k+$250.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8840.967$8.7k+$743.88
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5820.439$7.9k−$2.6k
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7990.745$7.4k−$544.39
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1940.130$7.1k−$3.5k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8190.864$6.8k+$354.84
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.645$6.4k−$949.90
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7900.915$6.4k+$874.97
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.705$5.3k+$2.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:55Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5BUY0.55$6.05
11-01 15:30Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.48$3.1k
11-01 04:05US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$195.27
10-31 19:14Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)BUY0.45$3.1k
10-31 17:02LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.61$4.3k
10-28 23:32Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5BUY0.5$100.00
10-28 19:05Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 PlayoffsBUY0.4$2.8k
10-28 02:10Trail Blazers vs. LakersBUY0.47$3.3k
10-28 00:48Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.971$3.0k
10-26 05:58Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.78$218.40
10-26 05:53Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.77$2.0k
10-26 04:24Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7390737173$544.80
10-26 04:19Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.75$472.50
10-26 04:19Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.74$38.91
10-26 04:17Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.899$150.10