PolyBot

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Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.016 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.013 to 0.032. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0192525
0.020530
0.0221242
0.0232466
0.026571
0.05341112
0.058100212
0.07040252
0.0715257
0.08745302
0.088150452
0.09418470

Spread0.013Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0063030
0.005100130
0.003150280
0.002250530
0.001161691

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9943030
0.995100130
0.997150280
0.998250530
0.999161691

Spread0.013Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9812525
0.980530
0.9781242
0.9772466
0.974571
0.94741112
0.942100212
0.93040252
0.9295257
0.91345302
0.912150452
0.90618470

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
molodoyyYes1,370.93
Contentious-DinnerdateYes1,355.88
caspar1248Yes800
rewardbotsYes552.36
1in1000Yes505.12
TralaleloTralalalaYes309.33
Hyp3rionYes307.85
Rr55Yes300
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes263.99
wavesintheskyYes191.79
Elton123Yes104.21
LornaPredictsYes101.07
hwe123Yes60
0x3e3cFf5E598b86A176416C9eC914E871B1E7e1D6-1786140877974Yes55
dgfd76Yes53.15
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724Yes52.41
0x9953…51f6Yes44.96
Numitus1994Yes41.23
AJSVYes38.73
mustbethewaterYes31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:48:29SELLYes0.01412$0.17
11:02:16SELLYes0.04118$0.75
11:02:15SELLYes0.04224$1.01
10:36:22SELLYes0.0828$0.64
10:36:22SELLYes0.0848$0.66
10:36:21SELLYes0.084540$3.38
10:36:18BUYNo0.9081915472265$240.67
09:15:25BUYNo0.90426$23.50
19:20:49SELLYes0.0952$0.21
19:19:55SELLYes0.0952$0.20
15:42:42BUYNo0.9112$1.92
13:09:46BUYYes0.09631$3.00
13:09:19SELLNo0.907471650$45.37
13:09:19SELLNo0.911$0.97
13:09:16BUYYes0.091010751451$4.60
13:09:16BUYYes0.0903817884277$25.00
10:06:40BUYNo0.92899999248$7.29
10:06:40BUYNo0.92920$18.61
10:06:40BUYNo0.92910$9.29
09:26:42BUYNo0.92899998823$2.45
09:26:34SELLYes0.0720$1.40
09:26:33BUYNo0.9380$74.40
09:26:33BUYNo0.929320100184$77.95
09:26:33BUYNo0.9321$19.53
09:26:33BUYNo0.9289999998100$92.87