0x9953a65cfd5200d88174cb54516efb7ab4d151f6
0x9953a65cfd5200d88174cb54516efb7ab4d151f6
- Realised P&L
- $-87.86
- Volume
- $25.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,582
- Open portfolio
- $217.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,582
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.15at 0.219Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$18.79at 0.890Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
- +$18.04at 0.612Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?
- +$17.31at 0.020Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$12.98at 0.110Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 09:16 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-01 20:54 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.41 |
| 10-01 15:48 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $26.69 |
| 09-28 06:27 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-26 04:37 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-24 14:33 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $14.35 |
| 09-24 14:33 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.883 | $14.91 |
| 09-22 16:33 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.10 |
| 09-22 15:52 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.11 |
| 09-22 15:47 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.842 | $28.00 |
| 09-22 03:44 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.17 |
| 09-21 23:26 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.93 |
| 09-21 03:13 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.11 |
| 09-20 17:27 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.59 |
| 09-20 16:19 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.49 |