PolyBot

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Traders

Rr55

0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58

Realised P&L
$38.8k
Volume
$5.66M
Markets traded
2,853
Open portfolio
$49.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,853
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.6480.884$2.7k+$722.95
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.5250.695$2.5k+$615.69
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1690.535$2.1k+$1.4k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8330.825$2.1k−$19.69
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8380.805$2.0k−$82.59
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7090.997$1.6k+$466.16
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.949$1.5k+$30.63
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9470.991$1.4k+$63.57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5830.365$1.4k−$843.81
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8650.945$1.3k+$112.41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9120.945$1.3k+$46.00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9580.984$1.3k+$33.53
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.8430.950$1.1k+$125.90
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · No0.9870.986$1.1k−$1.45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.3830.275$945.51−$371.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:43Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 35% or more?BUY0.95$19.01
11-01 12:45Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$206.46
11-01 09:26Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.56$112.00
10-31 19:19France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.996120017$794.62
10-31 09:03Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$473.23
10-30 22:54Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.62$31.00
10-30 22:54Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.6$66.00
10-30 22:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.3188235294$54.20
10-30 21:49Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$2.88
10-30 15:09Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.999$158.90
10-30 15:08Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?SELL0.002$0.20
10-30 12:20Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.97$476.18
10-30 11:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.986$238.60
10-30 10:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.9908211683$1.1k
10-30 10:22Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9287517055$988.40