Rr55
0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58
- Realised P&L
- $38.8k
- Volume
- $5.66M
- Markets traded
- 2,853
- Open portfolio
- $49.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,853
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.514Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.442Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.811Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$2.9kat 0.787Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.584Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:43 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 35% or more? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.01 |
| 11-01 12:45 | Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $206.46 |
| 11-01 09:26 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.56 | $112.00 |
| 10-31 19:19 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996120017 | $794.62 |
| 10-31 09:03 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $473.23 |
| 10-30 22:54 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 10-30 22:54 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $66.00 |
| 10-30 22:54 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3188235294 | $54.20 |
| 10-30 21:49 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.88 |
| 10-30 15:09 | Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.999 | $158.90 |
| 10-30 15:08 | Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 10-30 12:20 | Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.97 | $476.18 |
| 10-30 11:55 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.986 | $238.60 |
| 10-30 10:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.9908211683 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 10:22 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9287517055 | $988.40 |