PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rr55

0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58

Realised P&L
$34.3k
Volume
$5.39M
Markets traded
2,666
Open portfolio
$61.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,666
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · No0.9700.968$4.4k$10.45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.945$2.8k+$203.41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8690.967$2.8k+$280.96
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6360.725$1.7k+$202.93
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7700.925$1.5k+$247.83
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8530.875$1.3k+$31.93
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.4020.625$1.3k+$448.37
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · Yes0.4800.730$1.2k+$416.90
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes0.4340.765$1.2k+$509.96
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? · No0.9250.975$1.1k+$56.50
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.7710.755$1.1k$23.04
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.6990.320$995.79$1.2k
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.9040.892$981.75$13.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7780.775$868.01$3.50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.6770.765$813.13+$93.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:53Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.24$9.60
09-16 22:53Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.68$27.20
09-16 22:51Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.24$12.00
09-16 22:51Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.68$33.99
09-16 22:47Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.23$32.20
09-16 22:46Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.7$98.00
09-16 22:46Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.23$69.00
09-16 22:46Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.69$186.30
09-16 21:00Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?BUY0.9699838733$2.9k
09-16 20:13Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?BUY0.97$970.00
09-16 19:28Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?BUY0.9688922336$269.72
09-16 14:09Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?BUY0.968$137.53
09-16 11:03Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?BUY0.42$8.40
09-16 11:03Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?BUY0.35$7.00
09-16 09:40Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.89$38.43