TralaleloTralalala
0x5d91954919c7c729cc0dc4c82c62d336132f3578
- Realised P&L
- $43.4k
- Volume
- $670.1k
- Markets traded
- 895
- Open portfolio
- $28.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded895
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.8kat 0.454Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
- +$4.6kat 0.208Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
- +$4.0kat 0.467Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
- +$3.1kat 0.548Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
- +$2.6kat 0.629Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:31 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $555.00 |
| 09-18 23:21 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $55.00 |
| 09-18 23:19 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999951 | $55.00 |
| 09-18 23:17 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.2972446191 | $55.00 |
| 09-18 23:17 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6699999992 | $111.00 |
| 09-18 23:17 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $111.00 |
| 09-18 23:15 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999999 | $295.00 |
| 09-18 23:14 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1880381346 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 23:11 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 09-18 23:04 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 09-18 23:03 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.3912104662 | $77.00 |
| 09-18 22:59 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5726238284 | $295.00 |
| 09-18 20:27 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.6516141354 | $111.00 |
| 09-17 23:17 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999992 | $285.00 |
| 09-17 23:17 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.4572707353 | $210.77 |