Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.043. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.047. Range 0.038 to 0.047. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.047	5	5
0.048	35	40
0.049	71	111
0.050	104	215
0.051	60	275
0.052	81	356
0.057	44	400
0.116	40	440
0.117	10	450
0.124	9	460
0.126	45	505
0.127	10	515

Spread0.007Mid0.043

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	108	108
0.039	363	471
0.038	714	1,186
0.036	2	1,188
0.030	50	1,238
0.028	40	1,278
0.013	100	1,378
0.012	240	1,618
0.011	400	2,018
0.010	50	2,068
0.009	622	2,690
0.008	2,396	5,085

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	108	108
0.961	363	471
0.962	714	1,186
0.964	2	1,188
0.970	50	1,238
0.972	40	1,278
0.987	100	1,378
0.988	240	1,618
0.989	400	2,018
0.990	50	2,068
0.991	622	2,690
0.992	2,396	5,085

Spread0.007Mid0.956

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.953	5	5
0.952	35	40
0.951	71	111
0.950	104	215
0.949	60	275
0.948	81	356
0.943	44	400
0.884	40	440
0.883	10	450
0.876	9	460
0.874	45	505
0.873	10	515

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
QMG-CORE	Yes	3,000
flawfence	Yes	1,683.67
knrad	Yes	1,545.64
0x1ff3…eb39	Yes	1,436.95
zollar	Yes	837.26
anoin123	Yes	767.4
balthazar	Yes	700
CDReves	Yes	599.73
HerrieDavis	Yes	420.59
ImNotBetting	Yes	351.21
Gorea	Yes	335.55
Equoia	Yes	326.04
LornaPredicts	Yes	289.3
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	276.81
Mob-Dzi	Yes	265.2
0x8BC2E3c0D1B98fb208Fc083935519F2b3b47FaE1-1777908352009	Yes	231.42
rocky42008	Yes	231
neutralwave23	Yes	229.02
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	223.44
0xA5c233BE02d2009C9ce9D5c73E6990addB0133D2-1742381557194	Yes	213.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:37:11	BUY	No	0.962	40	$38.48
03:37:05	BUY	No	0.962	10	$9.62
03:06:53	BUY	No	0.962	36	$34.54
03:06:53	BUY	No	0.962	32	$31.08
03:06:53	BUY	No	0.962	5	$4.82
01:57:03	BUY	No	0.961999999	21	$19.79
01:56:57	BUY	No	0.962	10	$9.62
13:57:20	BUY	No	0.96	10	$9.64
14:09:02	BUY	No	0.96	20	$19.20
14:09:02	BUY	No	0.96	10	$9.52
08:47:20	BUY	Yes	0.046	62	$2.84
08:46:00	BUY	Yes	0.044	15	$0.66
08:45:33	BUY	Yes	0.043	158	$6.78
02:23:05	BUY	No	0.96	5	$4.80
02:07:42	BUY	No	0.96	10	$9.60
18:24:39	BUY	No	0.96	10	$9.64
09:13:27	BUY	No	0.9617989837	104	$100.00
03:11:20	BUY	Yes	0.039	50	$1.95
02:30:24	SELL	Yes	0.038	71	$2.70
23:47:41	BUY	No	0.9614934249	140	$134.76
19:25:33	BUY	Yes	0.0432107131	231	$10.00
19:25:20	BUY	No	0.961	36	$34.52
19:25:20	BUY	No	0.961	10	$9.61
19:25:20	BUY	No	0.961	54	$51.97
14:35:14	BUY	No	0.961282	10	$9.61