PolyBot

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Traders

knrad

0x4d0121458bb2f96c6440c0f3835d675ad3ce1645

Realised P&L
$40.4k
Volume
$3.44M
Markets traded
1,168
Open portfolio
$97.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,168
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:33Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1295819$4.90
11-01 21:12Will PP win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.9764675115$356.76
11-01 21:12Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.85$2.4k
11-01 18:49Will Junts win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1177920303$11.20
11-01 18:48Will PNV win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1613047891$49.11
11-01 18:47Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.995$1.2k
11-01 18:33Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.6991032194$155.91
11-01 18:32Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.6202530601$278.19
11-01 18:26Will PSOE win the most seats in Almería in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.8608960699$98.57
11-01 17:48Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.9699866576$2.8k
11-01 16:00Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8573962656$223.16
10-30 16:06Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.972$685.26
10-30 13:01Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?SELL0.999$23.98
10-30 13:01Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?SELL0.999$221.78
10-30 11:27Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?SELL0.307176167$135.69