CDReves
0x3bf2b9b5801d3171314aa9a3d685de9fff4370a4
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $80.8k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$451.44at 0.270Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$404.64at 0.861Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$271.13at 0.512Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
- +$256.04at 0.864Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$215.85at 0.796Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $46.20 |
| 07-25 12:32 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.58 |
| 07-25 12:31 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.058 | $11.60 |
| 07-25 12:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $35.10 |
| 07-23 21:24 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.069 | $4.67 |
| 07-23 13:05 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 07-21 20:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 07-21 14:44 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | SELL | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 09:25 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 07-20 19:17 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0538615811 | $1.94 |
| 07-20 19:12 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.79 |
| 07-20 19:09 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0485757641 | $2.26 |
| 07-20 19:08 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 07-20 16:33 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 07-20 15:58 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.60 |